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Gulf area up to 60% chance for weak development. A new Atlantic system is now up with a 20% chance for development, FL east coast and GA coast should watch for mid-late this week.**
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 292 (Idalia) , Major: 292 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 292 (Idalia) Major: 292 (Idalia)
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Mid June Areas of Interest

Posted: 11:50 PM 15 June 2024 | | Add Comment

8AM 16 June 2024 Update
The area in the Atlantic is now up to a 30% chance for development, with the area highlighted from all of the east coast of Florida into Georgia currently. This likely will be a fast moving rain maker for wherever it makes landfall, and just to the right of that. Likely as early as Thursday.

The area in the gulf is about 60% chance and also most likely a flooding rain maker (albeit a slower moving one than the Atlantic) for Northern Mexico and Parts of Southeastern Texas.

Both should be continued to watch this week.

Original Update
There are two areas of Interest currently, one area in the gulf now has a 60% chance to develop, and this Gulf area is likely not to get too strong, however it could dump flooding rains over Mexico and parts of Texas, including San Antonio and Austin.

The new area is 20% east of the Bahamas and could arrive to Florida or Georgia by Thursday later this week.
This system would arrive mid to late week (Thursday-Friday) before anything would happen there, and moving quickly so time is likely to keep it weaker, and bring some rain (but rain likely won't linger as long).





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