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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 276 (Idalia) , Major: 276 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 276 (Idalia) Major: 276 (Idalia)
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#1149277 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:47 PM 24.Aug.2023)
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082023
2100 UTC THU AUG 24 2023

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 68.9W AT 24/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 100SE 0SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 75SE 0SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 68.9W AT 24/2100Z
AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 69.3W

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 22.6N 68.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 90SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 23.1N 67.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 80SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 23.5N 66.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 24.3N 66.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 25.6N 67.1W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 27.3N 67.7W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 70SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 31.0N 68.3W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 35.4N 66.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.4N 68.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN