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| #1153612 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:41 AM 20.Sep.2023) TCMAT5 HURRICANE NIGEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152023 0900 UTC WED SEP 20 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 54.9W AT 20/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 971 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 35SW 40NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 80SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT.......140NE 130SE 100SW 130NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 270SE 270SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 54.9W AT 20/0900Z AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.7N 55.2W FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 36.7N 53.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 35SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 39.8N 49.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 20NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 160SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 42.8N 43.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 30SE 30SW 20NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 60NW. 34 KT...160NE 170SE 140SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 45.7N 35.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 80SE 70SW 50NW. 34 KT...160NE 180SE 160SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 49.2N 28.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 70SE 60SW 30NW. 34 KT...160NE 190SE 160SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 52.4N 24.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 20NW. 34 KT...160NE 190SE 150SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 57.1N 23.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 59.1N 20.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.4N 54.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z $$ FORECASTER KELLY |
