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Show Area Forecast Discussion - Jacksonville, FL (North Florida) Selection: |
| #1182823 (Received by flhurricane at: 2:06 PM 02.Jun.2024) AFDJAX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 957 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024 ...New UPDATE... .UPDATE... Issued at 952 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024 For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https://www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf No significant changes to the thinking for this short term update. Broken mid-upper level cloudiness is overspreading much of the forecast area with some light sprinkles over the Suwannee River Valley and SE Georgia. The Gulf sea breeze should penetrate inland to be to close to I-75 this evening. Widely scattered convection should develop along it this afternoon/evening. With a strong ESE to SE synoptic flow from off the ocean a few areas may see ocean showers impinge on the beaches/ICWW, but anything that does so should be very brief in any one location. && .NEAR TERM... Issued at 326 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024 For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https://www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf High pressure will be off the coast of the Carolinas, shifting towards Bermuda. This will lead to southeasterly steering flow today, allowing for the Atlantic sea breeze to move well inland. Moisture moving in from the west will bring PWAT values to sit above 1.5 inches across the area. Showers and storms are likely to begin along the I-75 corridor as the Gulf breeze and Atlantic sea breeze meet. With the increase in moisture to the area, combined with diurnal instability, the development of isolated to widely scattered showers and storms across the area can be expected from the afternoon to early evening. Daytime temperatures will primarily be in the upper 80s, with warmer temperatures expected along the north central FL counties. Overnight, temperature lows will dip to the upper 60s for inland areas with coastal locations dipping to the lower 70s. && .SHORT TERM... (Monday through Tuesday night) Issued at 326 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024 Light, stagnant flow pattern will establish itself across the local area early this week as broad low level ridging builds across the northeastern Gulf of Mexico Monday and then shifts over Florida Tuesday. Moisture seeping back into the area will recharge diurnal instability and aid in scattered showers and isolated storms along the sea breezes. T`storms development will be more likely during the late afternoon and early evening hours as sea breezes converge generally west of I-95. Primary concerns will be locally heavy downpours, occasional lightning and possibly localized gusty outflows but severe t`storms are unlikely. Temperatures will build through the week with highs trending into the low 90s inland by Tuesday and upper 80s to near 90 at the coast. Overnight temperatures will still be fairly comfortable, especially inland with readings in the upper 60s. Warming coastal waters will keep coastal zones a few degrees warmer in the low to mid 70s. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday through Saturday) Issued at 326 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024 Deepening moisture will continue through the end of the week with more than half of the buffet of ensemble members signaling PWATs surging above the 75th percentile (~1.7"). This deeper moisture will arrive Thursday and occur as the steering flow shifts southwesterly and strengthens ahead of an approaching frontal feature. This moisture and realignment in the steering will bolster instability through the end of the week and into the weekend and ultimately enhance diurnal t`storm chances across the region. Given the transition period, guidance is still struggling with the progressiveness of the aforementioned front. Run-to-run inconsistency has limited confidence in whether a frontal passage will occur. If the front stalls to the north, the hot and unstable airmass will stay in place, keeping storm chances through the weekend. In addition to the increasing t`storm potential, temperatures and heat risk will build through the week as ambient highs push well above normal with peak heat index values possibly in the 100-105 range. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 710 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024 A BKN080-120 mid-deck is moving over the forecast area with some light rain/sprinkles over the southeast GA area. No significant aviation impacts expected for KSSI. With a breezy SE to ESE flow coming in off the ocean could see a light shower at the coastal fields and KCRG but showers will be very brief. Will cover this possibility with VCSH. The Gulf Sea breeze will converge with the Atlantic southeasterly flow and sea breeze over interior Fl near I-75. Thus have VCTS for KGNV with a tempo for showers between 0219/0223. Again anything there will be very brief. && .MARINE... Issued at 326 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024 High pressure will shift eastward towards Bermuda into next week as southeasterly flow continues. Isolated storm chances will return over the local waters this afternoon and early evening hours. Winds will become more southerly by midweek and then southwesterly ahead of an approaching cold front by the end of the week. Rip Currents: Moderate risk of rip currents continues through Monday for all area beaches. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 326 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024 The stagnant flow pattern associated with a ridge of high pressure will allow winds to be dictated entirely by the sea and gulf breeze through Wednesday. Moisture and afternoon humidities will trend higher through the week. The uptick in moisture and instability will increase thunderstorm coverage, particularly Thursday and Friday. Lacking transport flow will limit dispersion through the first half of the week before winds increase from the southwest on Thursday and Friday. By next weekend, a cool front may attempt to push into the region. && .HYDROLOGY... Issued at 326 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024 Water levels are steadily receding along lower portions of the Santa Fe River near the gauge at Three Rivers Estates, but minor flooding will continue through most of the upcoming week due to backwater flooding effects from action level water levels along lower portions of the Suwannee River. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AMG 87 68 90 69 / 40 20 40 10 SSI 85 73 86 74 / 20 20 30 10 JAX 87 69 90 69 / 20 20 30 10 SGJ 87 71 87 71 / 20 20 30 10 GNV 89 67 91 67 / 30 20 40 10 OCF 90 68 92 68 / 30 20 40 10 && .JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GA...None. AM...None. && $$ |
| #1182807 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:33 AM 02.Jun.2024) AFDJAX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 719 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024 ...New AVIATION... .NEAR TERM... Issued at 326 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024 For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https://www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf High pressure will be off the coast of the Carolinas, shifting towards Bermuda. This will lead to southeasterly steering flow today, allowing for the Atlantic sea breeze to move well inland. Moisture moving in from the west will bring PWAT values to sit above 1.5 inches across the area. Showers and storms are likely to begin along the I-75 corridor as the Gulf breeze and Atlantic sea breeze meet. With the increase in moisture to the area, combined with diurnal instability, the development of isolated to widely scattered showers and storms across the area can be expected from the afternoon to early evening. Daytime temperatures will primarily be in the upper 80s, with warmer temperatures expected along the north central FL counties. Overnight, temperature lows will dip to the upper 60s for inland areas with coastal locations dipping to the lower 70s. && .SHORT TERM... (Monday through Tuesday night) Issued at 326 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024 Light, stagnant flow pattern will establish itself across the local area early this week as broad low level ridging builds across the northeastern Gulf of Mexico Monday and then shifts over Florida Tuesday. Moisture seeping back into the area will recharge diurnal instability and aid in scattered showers and isolated storms along the sea breezes. T`storms development will be more likely during the late afternoon and early evening hours as sea breezes converge generally west of I-95. Primary concerns will be locally heavy downpours, occasional lightning and possibly localized gusty outflows but severe t`storms are unlikely. Temperatures will build through the week with highs trending into the low 90s inland by Tuesday and upper 80s to near 90 at the coast. Overnight temperatures will still be fairly comfortable, especially inland with readings in the upper 60s. Warming coastal waters will keep coastal zones a few degrees warmer in the low to mid 70s. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday through Saturday) Issued at 326 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024 Deepening moisture will continue through the end of the week with more than half of the buffet of ensemble members signaling PWATs surging above the 75th percentile (~1.7"). This deeper moisture will arrive Thursday and occur as the steering flow shifts southwesterly and strengthens ahead of an approaching frontal feature. This moisture and realignment in the steering will bolster instability through the end of the week and into the weekend and ultimately enhance diurnal t`storm chances across the region. Given the transition period, guidance is still struggling with the progressiveness of the aforementioned front. Run-to-run inconsistency has limited confidence in whether a frontal passage will occur. If the front stalls to the north, the hot and unstable airmass will stay in place, keeping storm chances through the weekend. In addition to the increasing t`storm potential, temperatures and heat risk will build through the week as ambient highs push well above normal with peak heat index values possibly in the 100-105 range. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 710 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024 A BKN080-120 mid-deck is moving over the forecast area with some light rain/sprinkles over the southeast GA area. No significant aviation impacts expected for KSSI. With a breezy SE to ESE flow coming in off the ocean could see a light shower at the coastal fields and KCRG but showers will be very brief. Will cover this possibility with VCSH. The Gulf Sea breeze will converge with the Atlantic southeasterly flow and sea breeze over interior Fl near I-75. Thus have VCTS for KGNV with a tempo for showers between 0219/0223. Again anything there will be very brief. && .MARINE... Issued at 326 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024 High pressure will shift eastward towards Bermuda into next week as southeasterly flow continues. Isolated storm chances will return over the local waters this afternoon and early evening hours. Winds will become more southerly by midweek and then southwesterly ahead of an approaching cold front by the end of the week. Rip Currents: Moderate risk of rip currents continues through Monday for all area beaches. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 326 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024 The stagnant flow pattern associated with a ridge of high pressure will allow winds to be dictated entirely by the sea and gulf breeze through Wednesday. Moisture and afternoon humidities will trend higher through the week. The uptick in moisture and instability will increase thunderstorm coverage, particularly Thursday and Friday. Lacking transport flow will limit dispersion through the first half of the week before winds increase from the southwest on Thursday and Friday. By next weekend, a cool front may attempt to push into the region. && .HYDROLOGY... Issued at 326 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024 Water levels are steadily receding along lower portions of the Santa Fe River near the gauge at Three Rivers Estates, but minor flooding will continue through most of the upcoming week due to backwater flooding effects from action level water levels along lower portions of the Suwannee River. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AMG 87 68 90 69 / 40 20 40 10 SSI 85 73 86 74 / 20 20 30 10 JAX 87 69 90 69 / 20 20 30 10 SGJ 87 71 87 71 / 20 20 30 10 GNV 89 67 91 67 / 30 20 40 10 OCF 90 68 92 68 / 30 20 40 10 && .JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GA...None. AM...None. && $$ |
| #1182780 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:36 AM 02.Jun.2024) AFDJAX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 326 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024 ...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER... .NEAR TERM... Issued at 326 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024 For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https://www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf High pressure will be off the coast of the Carolinas, shifting towards Bermuda. This will lead to southeasterly steering flow today, allowing for the Atlantic sea breeze to move well inland. Moisture moving in from the west will bring PWAT values to sit above 1.5 inches across the area. Showers and storms are likely to begin along the I-75 corridor as the Gulf breeze and Atlantic sea breeze meet. With the increase in moisture to the area, combined with diurnal instability, the development of isolated to widely scattered showers and storms across the area can be expected from the afternoon to early evening. Daytime temperatures will primarily be in the upper 80s, with warmer temperatures expected along the north central FL counties. Overnight, temperature lows will dip to the upper 60s for inland areas with coastal locations dipping to the lower 70s. && .SHORT TERM... (Monday through Tuesday night) Issued at 326 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024 Light, stagnant flow pattern will establish itself across the local area early this week as broad low level ridging builds across the northeastern Gulf of Mexico Monday and then shifts over Florida Tuesday. Moisture seeping back into the area will recharge diurnal instability and aid in scattered showers and isolated storms along the sea breezes. T`storms development will be more likely during the late afternoon and early evening hours as sea breezes converge generally west of I-95. Primary concerns will be locally heavy downpours, occasional lightning and possibly localized gusty outflows but severe t`storms are unlikely. Temperatures will build through the week with highs trending into the low 90s inland by Tuesday and upper 80s to near 90 at the coast. Overnight temperatures will still be fairly comfortable, especially inland with readings in the upper 60s. Warming coastal waters will keep coastal zones a few degrees warmer in the low to mid 70s. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday through Saturday) Issued at 326 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024 Deepening moisture will continue through the end of the week with more than half of the buffet of ensemble members signaling PWATs surging above the 75th percentile (~1.7"). This deeper moisture will arrive Thursday and occur as the steering flow shifts southwesterly and strengthens ahead of an approaching frontal feature. This moisture and realignment in the steering will bolster instability through the end of the week and into the weekend and ultimately enhance diurnal t`storm chances across the region. Given the transition period, guidance is still struggling with the progressiveness of the aforementioned front. Run-to-run inconsistency has limited confidence in whether a frontal passage will occur. If the front stalls to the north, the hot and unstable airmass will stay in place, keeping storm chances through the weekend. In addition to the increasing t`storm potential, temperatures and heat risk will build through the week as ambient highs push well above normal with peak heat index values possibly in the 100-105 range. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 326 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024 VFR conditions will continue through the overnight into early morning. Showers and storms will begin to move near TAF sites around 19Z and stick around into early evening. Winds will continue from the southeast, with wind gusts near 15 to 20 knots possible along the coastal sites. && .MARINE... Issued at 326 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024 High pressure will shift eastward towards Bermuda into next week as southeasterly flow continues. Isolated storm chances will return over the local waters this afternoon and early evening hours. Winds will become more southerly by midweek and then southwesterly ahead of an approaching cold front by the end of the week. Rip Currents: Moderate risk of rip currents continues through Monday for all area beaches. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 326 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024 The stagnant flow pattern associated with a ridge of high pressure will allow winds to be dictated entirely by the sea and gulf breeze through Wednesday. Moisture and afternoon humidities will trend higher through the week. The uptick in moisture and instability will increase thunderstorm coverage, particularly Thursday and Friday. Lacking transport flow will limit dispersion through the first half of the week before winds increase from the southwest on Thursday and Friday. By next weekend, a cool front may attempt to push into the region. && .HYDROLOGY... Issued at 326 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024 Water levels are steadily receding along lower portions of the Santa Fe River near the gauge at Three Rivers Estates, but minor flooding will continue through most of the upcoming week due to backwater flooding effects from action level water levels along lower portions of the Suwannee River. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AMG 87 68 90 69 / 40 20 40 10 SSI 85 73 86 74 / 20 20 30 10 JAX 87 69 90 69 / 20 20 30 10 SGJ 87 71 87 71 / 20 20 30 10 GNV 89 67 91 67 / 30 20 40 10 OCF 90 68 92 68 / 30 20 40 10 && .JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GA...None. AM...None. && $$ |
| #1182749 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:33 AM 02.Jun.2024) AFDJAX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 920 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024 ...New UPDATE... .UPDATE... Issued at 918 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024 For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https://www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf Forecast is looking good this evening with only some mention of light showers skirting onshore the SE GA coast over the next couple of hours before fizzling with inland extent. Near seasonal overnight lows expected with mid 60s to near 70 degrees away from the coast and low 70s along the coast under occasionnal mid and high level clouds. Incerasing moisture Sunday will support isolated to widely scattered showers and T`storms initiating along the merging seabreezes west of highway 301 while weak shortwave energy passing aloft. Partly to mostly cloudy skies will keep highs near normal in the southeasterly flow up to near 90 degrees over north central FL and upper 80s north to the FL/GA state line and west of the St Johns river and low to mid 80s at the coast. && .NEAR TERM... Issued at 130 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024 For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https://www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf East to Southeast steering flow still on track to push Atlantic sea breeze well inland and still possible isolated showers and/or storms to develop as it reaches the Gulf Coast sea breeze or outflows from ongoing storm activity over SW GA. Not expecting much convection as abundant dry air mixing in with any activity will keep rainfall chances around 20% or so. The delayed start to any convection will allow for slight chance PoPs continue this evening into the overnight hours. Cloud cover will remain partly to mostly cloudy tonight as leftover convective debris clouds from convection west of the region will continue with lows in the 65-70 range inland and 70-75 along the Atlantic Coastal areas. The airmass will likely remain too dry and mixed through the overnight hours for any fog formation. && .SHORT TERM... (Sunday through Monday night) Issued at 130 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024 Moisture will begin returning to the region on Sunday, with PWATS generally rising above 1.5 inches area-wide. Both Sunday and Monday, scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms are expected, with the highest coverage of storms being in the afternoon as the east coast sea breeze moves inland. Diurnal instability and increased moisture will promote thunderstorms, however with weak mid-level lapse rates forecast, only isolated to widely scattered storm coverage is likely both days. Highs Sunday will reach the mid 80s to lower 90s, with a slight warm up forecast for Monday. Mild low temperatures forecast, in the upper 60s to lower/mid 70s along the coast. && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday through next Saturday) Issued at 130 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024 Temperatures will remain hot this week as high pressure builds overhead, with a gradual slight increase in temps each day through Friday. By Thursday, with steering flow will shift southwesterly, so even the immediate east coast will see high temperatures in the lower 90s. The general daily trend will be an afternoon/evening isolated to scattered thunderstorm risk as the sea breezes move inland and soaring temperatures create enough surface based instability. Although far out in the forecast, it appears a front will approach from the northwest late this week, timing and impacts still have a decent level of uncertainty. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 755 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024 VFR conditions will continue overnight into Sunday as high pressure builds just east of the Outer Banks of North Carolina with light east to southeasterly winds 5-8 knots diminishing to variable around 3-5 knots towards 06Z. Dry airmass and presence of mid and high level clouds will limit any chance of significant fog through sunrise. Weak impulse aloft traveling in from the FL peninsula and the collision of the east coast seabreeze with Gulf seabreeze far inland near or just west of GNV after 19Z will create enough coverage of widely scattered showers and thunderstorms to warrant VCTS at GNV with some of this activity pressing towards the coast by late afternoon due to higher level westerly wind flow and have placed VCSH after 21Z for JAX, CRG, VQQ, SGJ, and SSI. Mid level clouds will persist and lower as moisture increases Sunday across the area. Winds will be predominatly southeasterly 6-8 knots inland with more easterly winds behind the Atlantic seabreeze 8-10 knots at duval county TAF sites and 10-12 knots at the coast where some higher gusts around 15-10 knots possible. && .MARINE... Issued at 130 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024 High pressure will build off of the Carolinas this afternoon into Sunday with winds turning more southeasterly. The high will shift near Bermuda early next week with lighter southeasterly winds turning southerly midweek with isolated thunderstorms returning to the waters in the afternoon and early evening as a cold front approaches from the northwest on Friday with winds turning southwesterly. Rip Currents: Moderate rip current risk on Sunday for NE FL and SE GA beaches as onshore winds begin to calm. && .HYDROLOGY... Issued at 303 AM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024 Water levels continue to recede along lower portions of the Satilla River near the gauge at Atkinson, where water levels will fall below flood stage by this afternoon to evening. Water levels have already begun to recede along lower portions of the Santa Fe River near the gauge at Three Rivers Estates, but minor flooding will continue through most of the upcoming week due to backwater flooding effects from action level water levels along lower portions of the Suwannee River. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AMG 67 85 67 89 / 10 40 30 30 SSI 72 84 73 85 / 20 20 20 20 JAX 67 86 69 89 / 0 20 20 30 SGJ 70 86 72 87 / 0 20 20 20 GNV 65 89 67 91 / 0 40 20 40 OCF 66 90 68 92 / 0 40 30 40 && .JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GA...None. AM...None. && $$ |
| #1182742 (Received by flhurricane at: 12:06 AM 02.Jun.2024) AFDJAX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 800 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024 ...New AVIATION... .NEAR TERM... Issued at 130 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024 For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https://www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf East to Southeast steering flow still on track to push Atlantic sea breeze well inland and still possible isolated showers and/or storms to develop as it reaches the Gulf Coast sea breeze or outflows from ongoing storm activity over SW GA. Not expecting much convection as abundant dry air mixing in with any activity will keep rainfall chances around 20% or so. The delayed start to any convection will allow for slight chance PoPs continue this evening into the overnight hours. Cloud cover will remain partly to mostly cloudy tonight as leftover convective debris clouds from convection west of the region will continue with lows in the 65-70 range inland and 70-75 along the Atlantic Coastal areas. The airmass will likely remain too dry and mixed through the overnight hours for any fog formation. && .SHORT TERM... (Sunday through Monday night) Issued at 130 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024 Moisture will begin returning to the region on Sunday, with PWATS generally rising above 1.5 inches area-wide. Both Sunday and Monday, scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms are expected, with the highest coverage of storms being in the afternoon as the east coast sea breeze moves inland. Diurnal instability and increased moisture will promote thunderstorms, however with weak mid-level lapse rates forecast, only isolated to widely scattered storm coverage is likely both days. Highs Sunday will reach the mid 80s to lower 90s, with a slight warm up forecast for Monday. Mild low temperatures forecast, in the upper 60s to lower/mid 70s along the coast. && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday through next Saturday) Issued at 130 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024 Temperatures will remain hot this week as high pressure builds overhead, with a gradual slight increase in temps each day through Friday. By Thursday, with steering flow will shift southwesterly, so even the immediate east coast will see high temperatures in the lower 90s. The general daily trend will be an afternoon/evening isolated to scattered thunderstorm risk as the sea breezes move inland and soaring temperatures create enough surface based instability. Although far out in the forecast, it appears a front will approach from the northwest late this week, timing and impacts still have a decent level of uncertainty. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 755 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024 VFR conditions will continue overnight into Sunday as high pressure builds just east of the Outer Banks of North Carolina with light east to southeasterly winds 5-8 knots diminishing to variable around 3-5 knots towards 06Z. Dry airmass and presence of mid and high level clouds will limit any chance of significant fog through sunrise. Weak impulse aloft traveling in from the FL peninsula and the collision of the east coast seabreeze with Gulf seabreeze far inland near or just west of GNV after 19Z will create enough coverage of widely scattered showers and thunderstorms to warrant VCTS at GNV with some of this activity pressing towards the coast by late afternoon due to higher level westerly wind flow and have placed VCSH after 21Z for JAX, CRG, VQQ, SGJ, and SSI. Mid level clouds will persist and lower as moisture increases Sunday across the area. Winds will be predominatly southeasterly 6-8 knots inland with more easterly winds behind the Atlantic seabreeze 8-10 knots at duval county TAF sites and 10-12 knots at the coast where some higher gusts around 15-10 knots possible. && .MARINE... Issued at 130 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024 High pressure will build off of the Carolinas this afternoon into Sunday with winds turning more southeasterly. The high will shift near Bermuda early next week with lighter southeasterly winds turning southerly midweek with isolated thunderstorms returning to the waters in the afternoon and early evening as a cold front approaches from the northwest on Friday with winds turning southwesterly. Rip Currents: Moderate rip current risk on Sunday for NE FL and SE GA beaches as onshore winds begin to calm. && .HYDROLOGY... Issued at 303 AM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024 Water levels continue to recede along lower portions of the Satilla River near the gauge at Atkinson, where water levels will fall below flood stage by this afternoon to evening. Water levels have already begun to recede along lower portions of the Santa Fe River near the gauge at Three Rivers Estates, but minor flooding will continue through most of the upcoming week due to backwater flooding effects from action level water levels along lower portions of the Suwannee River. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AMG 67 85 67 89 / 10 50 20 30 SSI 74 84 73 85 / 10 20 20 20 JAX 69 86 69 89 / 10 30 20 30 SGJ 71 86 72 87 / 10 30 20 20 GNV 67 89 67 91 / 10 50 10 40 OCF 67 90 68 92 / 10 50 10 40 && .JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GA...None. AM...None. && $$ |
