3PM EDT Update 22 September 2023
Tropical Storm Ophelia has formed from PTC16.

11AM EDT Update 21 September 2023
Tropical Storm Warnings up for NC/VA/Maryland for Potential Tropical Cyclone 16. This will develop quickly. PTC#16 Forms. Tropical Warning up Cape Fear, NC, to Fenwick Island, DE Storm Surge Watches up from Surf City, North Carolina to Chincoteague, VA, and the Chesapeake Bay south of Smith Point, including Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds

Original Update
Hurricane Nigel continues its long turn in the Central Atlantic and should be moving back to the northeast by tomorrow evening.

The area in the East Atlantic has a 70% chance to develop, and it too is likely to remain away from land areas.

An area off Florida may form this weekend and drift northward, possibly subtropical, from a stalled front. If anything does develop it could happen quickly once going (but likely won't have long enough to get to hurricane strength), so those in the coastal Carolinas and Southeast Virginia should monitor this, especially toward the end of the week.

The current pattern in the main development region is for things to recurve, so the closer to home systems are the one to pay attention to. Either near the US or the Caribbean.


Nigel Event Related Links

SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page

[https://flhurricane.com/floatanimator.php?year=2023&storm=15 Flhurricane Satellite Floater Animation of Nigel
GOES Floater
Animated Skeetobite Model Plot of Nigel

Clark Evans Track Model Plot of Nigel (Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of Nigel (Animated!)

Clark Evans Track Plot of Nigel

Other Model Charts from Clark

Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for Nigel
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on Nigel -- RAMMB Info
COD Atlantic Satellite View



Ophelia Event Related Links

SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page

[https://flhurricane.com/floatanimator.php?year=2023&storm=16 Flhurricane Satellite Floater Animation of Ophelia
GOES Floater
Animated Skeetobite Model Plot of Ophelia

Clark Evans Track Model Plot of Ophelia (Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of Ophelia (Animated!)

Clark Evans Track Plot of Ophelia

Other Model Charts from Clark

Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for Ophelia
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on Ophelia -- RAMMB Info
COD Atlantic Satellite View



Philippe Event Related Links

SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page

[https://flhurricane.com/floatanimator.php?year=2023&storm=17 Flhurricane Satellite Floater Animation of Philippe
GOES Floater
Animated Skeetobite Model Plot of Philippe

Clark Evans Track Model Plot of Philippe (Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of Philippe (Animated!)

Clark Evans Track Plot of Philippe

Other Model Charts from Clark

Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for Philippe
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on Philippe -- RAMMB Info
COD Atlantic Satellite View



Invest 91L Event Related Links

SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page

[https://flhurricane.com/floatanimator.php?year=2023&storm=18 Flhurricane Satellite Floater Animation of 91L
GOES Floater
Animated Skeetobite Model Plot of 91L

Clark Evans Track Model Plot of 91L (Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of 91L (Animated!)

Clark Evans Track Plot of 91L

Other Model Charts from Clark

Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for 91L
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on 91L -- RAMMB Info
COD Atlantic Satellite View


Eastern NC/OBX/Hampton Roads Media:

North Carolina Power Outage Map

North Carolina Flood Inundation and Mapping Network

Star News Online (Wilmington)

Outer Banks Sentinel

Hampton Roads Pilot

WWAY TV 3 Wilmington, NC (ABC)

WECT TV 6 Wilmington, NC (NBC)

Fox Wilmington (FOX)

WILM TV 10 Wilmington, NC (CBS)

WITN 7 - Eastern North Carolina TV (NBC)

WCTI 12 - Eastern North Carolina (ABC)

WNCT TV 9 - Eastern North Carolina (CBS)

Wavy 10 (NBC) - Hampton Roads/VA Beach, VA TV

WTKR 3 (CBS) - Hampton Roads/VA Beach, VA

WVEC 13 (ABC) - Hampton Roads/VA Beach, VA
Mid-Atlantic/Carolina Links Southeast Composite Radar Loop (Latest Static)

Charleston, SC Radar Radar Loop (Latest Static)

Wilmington, NC Radar Radar Loop (Latest Static)

Morehead City, NC Radar Radar Loop (Latest Static)

Norfolk/Wakefield, VA Radar Radar Loop (Latest Static)

Area Forecast Discussions: Charleston, SC - Wilmington, NC - Morehead City, NC - Norfolk/Virginia Beach/Hampton Roads, VA

Power Outage Maps: South Carolina Power Outage Map North Carolina Power Outage Map Virginia Power Outage Map