12PM ET Update 16 November 2018
96L has been greenballed (reactivated for tracking), and is rapidly organizing into a well-defined area of low pressure today, centered at roughly 24N 74.5W as of 1500z. If current trends continue NHC would likely issue an update by the regularly scheduled 7PM TWO.

Additional tracking info and speculation on 96L is also available in the 96L Lounge.


Original Entry

Above: Visible satellite of two areas of interest early morning Nov 10. Base map courtesy Weathernerds.org

A couple of unseasonably impressive waves in the Tropical Atlantic have the potential for some development next week, with steering currents that could push one or more near or over portions of the Greater Antilles, Bahamas and/or Bermuda.

The most impressive wave is presently located about 700 miles east of the Lesser Antilles, and has caught the attention of NHC as well as several of the better models for development - now at 40% within 5 days per NHC

Another feature, a trough centered about halfway between the above referenced wave and the Lesser Antilles, is not presently flagged by NHC for potential, but could be. Although models analyze conditions as less ideal for TC genesis than for the wave to its east, it is looking very impressive, suggesting that this disturbance is more vigorous and/or the environment is more conducive than models think.

Both of these features are likely to produce moderate to heavy showers and strong, gusty winds over populated portions of the SW Atlantic regardless of development.

This post will be updated with any Invest tags and TC numbers as warranted.

96L Event Related Links

Flhurricane Satellite Floater Animation of of 96L - New for 2018

Animated Skeetobite Model Plot of 96L

SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page

Clark Evans Track Model Plot of 96L (Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of 96L (Animated!)

Clark Evans Track Plot of 96L

Other Model Charts from Clark

Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for 96L
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on 96L -- RAMMB Info

Floater Satellite Images: Visible (Loop), IR (Loop), WV (Loop), Dvorak (Loop), AVN (Loop), RGB (Loop), Rainbow (Loop), Funktop (Loop), RB Top Loop)