Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane CenterHurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


Cabo Verde Season has Arrived: #Harvey #92L Tropical Waves and Tropical Lows all heading west #flhurricane.com
# of days since last Hurricane Landfall - US: Any 314 (Matthew) , Major: 4317 (11 y 9 m) (Wilma) Florida - Any: 351 (Hermine) Major: 4317 (11 y 9 m) (Wilma)
Weather Statements for Selected Locations [ Customize Locations ]
Click to Expand Weather Text Tropical Weather Outlook (Graphical - 5 day - Discussion - Sat - Wundermap) 2:00 AM EDT (History)
Click to Expand Weather Text Tropical Storm Harvey - Tropical Discussion - 5:00 AM EDT (History)
Click to Expand Weather Text Tropical Storm Harvey - Marine/Forecast Update - 5:00 AM EDT (History)
Click to Expand Weather Text Tropical Storm Harvey - Public Advisory - 5:00 AM EDT (History) Heavy Rainfall Threat Today In The Abc Islands From Harvey
Click to Show Local Outlooks and Discussions Local Weather Outlooks/Discussions (14)
Latest CFHC News - See More News...
Article Icon

Systems Tracking West - Harvey, 92L and More

Posted: 07:49 PM 13 August 2017 | 1 Comment | Add Comment | Newest: 05:33 PM 17-Aug EDT

8:30PM EDT Update 17 Aug 2017
Cabo Verde Season has Arrived



10:30AM EDT Update 17 Aug 2017
Full Advisories will begin shortly on PTC NINE (91L). Caribbean impacts likely. Recon may find that it is already Harvey later today.

THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR MARTINIQUE.

THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BARBADOS...ST. VINCENT...AND THE GRENADINES.

THE GOVERNMENT OF ST. LUCIA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ST. LUCIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR DOMINICA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24-36 HOURS.

10AM EDT Update 17 Aug 2017
Three coherent disturbances continue tracking generally west today (91L, 92L, 93L?), and advisories may begin soon on what is now "91L" - the westernmost of the bunch. Recon has been tasked to head out to 91L at 1800Z to help determine if a tropical cyclone has formed and to assess its intensity.

At least two of the above thee disturbances have the potential to affect land within 72 hours (91L and 92L). The next name on the Atlantic list is Harvey.

Original Entry
Disturbances Entering a Favorable Basin




The Atlantic is phasing into a much more conducive state for tropical cyclogenesis and intensification. This is neither hype, nor speculation, and the regions probably most favorable for formation and/or intensification will include the Main Development Region (a rectangular 'box' that encompass the Tropical Atlantic and some of the Caribbean), as well as also off the southeast coast, and possibly even the Gulf. Pick your poison.

As of this new article, there is one named storm in the Atlantic, Gert, which is forecast to come just shy of hurricane intensity and head out to sea regardless, one active Invest (91L), and one convectively active portion of the Monsoon Trof that is not yet Invest tagged, but which could be, if 91L doesn't absorb it. Beyond that, there is also a bit of a wave train pattern over Africa that is ripe for discussion in the General 2017 Model Watching Lounge .


TD8 (GERT) Event Related Links


Animated Skeetobite Model Plot of GERT


stormplotthumb_8.gif

SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page
Clark Evans Track Model Plot of GERT (Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of GERT (Animated!)

Clark Evans Track Plot of GERT

Other Model Charts from Clark

Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for GERT
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on GERT -- RAMMB Info

Floater Satellite Images: Visible (Loop), IR (Loop), WV (Loop), Dvorak (Loop), AVN (Loop), RGB (Loop), Rainbow (Loop), Funktop (Loop), RB Top Loop)


Harvey Event Related Links


Animated Skeetobite Model Plot of Harvey


stormplotthumb_9.gif

SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page
Clark Evans Track Model Plot of Harvey (Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of Harvey (Animated!)

Clark Evans Track Plot of Harvey

Other Model Charts from Clark

Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for Harvey
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on Harvey -- RAMMB Info

Floater Satellite Images: Visible (Loop), IR (Loop), WV (Loop), Dvorak (Loop), AVN (Loop), RGB (Loop), Rainbow (Loop), Funktop (Loop), RB Top Loop)


92L (Central Atlantic Tropical Low) Event Related Links


Animated Skeetobite Model Plot of 92L


stormplotthumb_10.gif

SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page
Clark Evans Track Model Plot of 92L (Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of 92L (Animated!)

Clark Evans Track Plot of 92L

Other Model Charts from Clark

Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for 92L
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on 92L -- RAMMB Info

Floater Satellite Images: Visible (Loop), IR (Loop), WV (Loop), Dvorak (Loop), AVN (Loop), RGB (Loop), Rainbow (Loop), Funktop (Loop), RB Top Loop)


StormCarib Reports from the Caribbean Islands

Caribbean Weather Observations

Barbados Brohav Weather Fax

Caribbean Broadcast Corporation (TV/Radio from Antilles)

San Juan, PR Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Various Caribbean Radio Stations

DR1 Dominican Republic Hurricanes

Facebook Update Posted
11:48 am 18-Aug-2017 EDT

#92L in 'that zone' where #Florida old-timers start paying close attention
http://flhurricane.com/cyclone/showflat.php?Cat=0&Number=97852&an=0&page=0&gonew=1#UNREAD

Facebook Update Posted
09:00 pm 17-Aug-2017 EDT

Cabo Verde Season has Arrived: #Harvey #92L Tropical Waves and Tropical Lows all heading west #flhurricane.com

Facebook Update Posted
04:49 pm 17-Aug-2017 EDT

#91L #NINE is now Tropical Storm #Harvey Watches and Warnings Up in Lesser Antilles. #92L also more concerning. #flhurricane.com

Facebook Update Posted
04:41 pm 17-Aug-2017 EDT

Storm Downgraded: Cat 1 Hurricane #GERT to Post-Tropical #GERT 44.8N 46.0W Wind 65MPH Moving ENE at 39 MPH https://t.co/A1iFikYB5D

Facebook Update Posted
02:39 pm 17-Aug-2017 EDT

Good afternoon! The huge area of clouds north of Hispaniola is NOT tropical. There is a large upper level low centered to the west and it is imparting 40 to 50 knots of wind shear from the south directly over this disturbance; there is an upper high immediately to its east and the two players are creating the means for the winds aloft to diverge and thus this is what you're looking at.

Pot TC9 is that "tiny" thing about 750 nautical miles ESE of the non-tropical system I just mentioned. Pot TC9 is no threat to the United States for the foreseeable future and will continue to move generally westward throughout the period. A strong upper high that is off the US Atlantic east coast will remain strong throughout the next 5 days.

Visible satellite photo is courtesy of our new toy, the GOES 16R - technically it's non-operational for official uses, but the resolution on this satellite is stunning and what it can do, is something else in other modes than visible. This is a full disk image.

Facebook Update Posted
01:53 pm 17-Aug-2017 EDT

Storm Formation Alert: Potential TC NINE 13.1N 54.1W Wind 35MPH Moving W at 17 MPH https://t.co/A1iFilgcud

13.8N 65.9W
Wind: 40MPH
Pres: 1005mb
Moving:
W at 21 mph
Click for Storm Spotlight
Invest 92LClick for Invest Information from CIMSS
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
ADS
Login to remove ads

2017 Forecast Lounge
cieldumort (8 replies)
92L Lounge
cieldumort (6 replies)
TS HARVEY Lounge
cieldumort (28 replies)
HUR. GERT Lounge
MikeC (12 replies)
General 2017 Model Watching
CFHC 2017
CFHC is a Weather Enthusiast Run Site Focusing on East Central Florida and the Entire Atlantic Hurricane Basin since 1995
Maintained by:
John R. Cornelius - Cocoa, FL
Michael A. Cornelius - Orlando, FL
Meteorologist Ed Dunham - Melbourne, FL
Site Design by:
Christine M. Hahn - Allentown, PA
CFHC is NOT an official weather source, please only use us as a supplement to official weather outlets.
20499384
[ Hide This Bar ]

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center