The 2010 National Hurricane Conference is in Orlando this year, and runs March 29-April 2. See http://www.hurricanemeeting.com for information.

Mark Sudduth from HurricaneTrack.com is organizing a meet and greet the evening of Thursday, April 1st in the Orlando area from roughly 7-9PM. Mike and John from flhurricane will be there as well.

The meet and greet is for anyone in the Orlando area who would like to stop by and say hello. Exact times and location are still being worked on. Mark Sudduth and Mike Watkins from HurricaneTrack.com will be hosting. Hurricane Track hopes to use the opportunity to get to know the people who have supported and followed their work over the years.


Updated information will be placed here when the time comes.

The latest NOAA/CPC forecasts indicate that the current moderate El Nino should persist through Spring 2010, and probably linger in a weaker state through the Summer.

The forecast implies a below normal season for tropical cyclone activity in the Atlantic basin. Initial selections for best analog years are 1973, 1993, 1968 and 1987, and my initial outlook for the 2010 season is 8/4/1 (8 named storms with 4 becoming hurricanes and one of the four becoming a major hurricane).

If you have numeric guesses, click here to add and see others. Rationale is not required, although the reasoning behind your numbers is always welcomed. It will be open until the end of May and then we can examine the results at the end of the season.

Last year as a group we didn’t do so well with most of the forecasts running on the high side.

Note that multi-year below normal seasons are not that uncommon. Recent examples include 1967-68, 1972-73, 1982-83, 1986-87 and 1991-94. To make it easier to compile the end-of-season results, please limit your inputs in this thread to forecasts (and rationale if any).

(Above was Reposted from ED)

In other hurricane related news, the format for public advisories is changing for 2010, and warning lead time is being added.

The 2010 Atlantic and Pacific Hurricane seasons will have warnings and watches sooner than in years past. Instead of the usual 36 hour lead time for watches, it will be extended to 48 hours. And the goal for warnings to be issued will be 36 hours instead of the old 24.

This will apply both to the Atlantic and Pacific Hurricane Basins for any storms that may occur.

This is our 15th year tracking storms, and the season starts June 1st, 2010.

This year is expected to be slightly more active than 2009.

More to come later!