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NHC Advisories to begin on TD28 in the Caribbean. Remains a little dishoveled but expected to intensify.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 15 (Delta) , Major: 59 (Laura) Florida - Any: 745 (Michael) Major: 745 (Michael)
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Late Season Activity Heating up Close to Home

Posted: 03:53 PM 23 October 2020 | 1 Comment | Add Comment | Newest: 02:29 PM 24-Oct EDT

4:30PM EDT 24 October 2020 Update
Recon has found just enough organization for Invest 95L to qualify as a TD, and NHC advisories are being issued. Interests in the north-northwest Caribbean and north-northeast Gulf of Mexico may want to begin paying close attention.





Conditions for development in the western Atlantic are going up this week and forecast to remain at least somewhat favorable in spots for a while. Given that we are in a record-setting hyperactive season that started early and may very well end late, and with several additional disturbances possible over the next few weeks, this region, much closer to home, deserves more attention than usual at this time of year.

Today, October 23rd, we are watching a vigorous disturbance in the Caribbean that has rapidly pulled itself together in just the past 18 hours, Invest 95L. This Low may become a Tropical Cyclone as soon as later today or tonight, and interests from Cuba to the Yucatan, S Florida, the Keys, and maybe the Bahamas or even the north central Gulf, may want to begin following closely.

Recon is scheduled to fly 95L tomorrow. It is possible that they will find a Tropical Storm at that time. The next Greek name on the list to be used is Zeta, and would tie 2005 for the most named storms at twenty-seven. 2005 also had an unnamed storm added post-season, for a total of 28 cyclones with sustained winds at or above 39 MPH.

Elsewhere, Hurricane Epsilon is now heading out to sea, but may become a very powerful post-tropical cyclone while approaching Europe next week.


StormCarib Reports from the Caribbean Islands

Caribbean Weather Observations

Barbados Brohav Weather Fax

Caribbean Broadcast Corporation (TV/Radio from Antilles)

San Juan, PR Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Various Caribbean Radio Stations

DR1 Dominican Republic Hurricanes

Invest 95L Forecast Lounge

Zeta Event Related Links

Flhurricane Satellite Floater Animation of of Zeta - New for 2018


Animated Skeetobite Model Plot of Zeta


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SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page


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Clark Evans Track Model Plot of Zeta (Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of Zeta (Animated!)

Clark Evans Track Plot of Zeta

Other Model Charts from Clark

Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for Zeta
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on Zeta -- RAMMB Info
COD Atlantic Satellite View

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