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Weak #98L in the far north Atlantic no threat to U.S. Atlantic basin looking very El Nino-like. Mostly quiet.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 310 (Nate) , Major: 328 (Maria) Florida - Any: 338 (Irma) Major: 338 (Irma)
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Atlantic Slowly Reawakening as Heart of Season Nears

Posted: 04:27 PM 10 August 2018 | 1 Comment | Add Comment | Newest: 04:49 PM 10-Aug EDT

2PM AST Update 12 Aug 2018
As expected, a non-tropical low has formed in the north-central Atlantic and is showing some signs of being able to transition into a sub-trop or tropical cyclone. This system is now being tracked as an Invest, 98L, but is no threat to the Americas while it meanders over the subtropical Atlantic.

Elsewhere, the weak disturbance between the Caribbean and Africa has been decimated and is now given a near-zero chance of developing.

Original Entry

The climatological heart of the Atlantic Hurricane Season is now just about a week away, generally thought of as mid-August trough mid-October, and while 2018 is expected by most specialists to end up with far fewer named storms, hurricanes and majors than last year, "it only takes one." Now, while it is still quiet, is a great time to do hurricane preparedness, so when the peak does come, and if a significant storm approaches, there will be less to worry about.

And all is not quiet. As of today, August 10, NHC is now focusing on two features. One, an expected development of a non-tropical low out in the central Atlantic that could acquire sub-tropical or tropical status much like pre-Debby did. This feature should not be a threat to the Americas. The other, a disturbance located about midway between Africa and the Lesser Antilles, could slowly develop next week as it travels west-northwest towards the Caribbean.

Invest 98L Event Related Links

Flhurricane Satellite Floater Animation of of 98L - New for 2018

Animated Skeetobite Model Plot of 98L


SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page

Clark Evans Track Model Plot of 98L (Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of 98L (Animated!)

Clark Evans Track Plot of 98L

Other Model Charts from Clark

Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for 98L
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on 98L -- RAMMB Info

Floater Satellite Images: Visible (Loop), IR (Loop), WV (Loop), Dvorak (Loop), AVN (Loop), RGB (Loop), Rainbow (Loop), Funktop (Loop), RB Top Loop)

Facebook Update Posted
01:47 pm 12-Aug-2018 EDT

Weak #98L in the far north Atlantic no threat to U.S. Atlantic basin looking very El Nino-like. Mostly quiet.

Facebook Update Posted
04:26 pm 10-Aug-2018 EDT

New Article: Atlantic Slowly Reawakening as Heart of Season Nears

Facebook Update Posted
10:47 am 10-Aug-2018 EDT

There's a low Chance area in the Central Atlantic east of the Caribbean to watch into next week with a 20% chance to develop.

Facebook Update Posted
04:38 pm 09-Aug-2018 EDT

Storm Downgraded:Tropical Storm #DEBBY toPost-Tropical #DEBBY 45.5N 40.5W Wind 40MPH Moving NE at 23 MPH

Facebook Update Posted
03:22 pm 08-Aug-2018 EDT

Tropical Storm Warning for Hawaii Co. as Major Hur. #Hector passes S of the BI w/ affects being felt. #Debby now Tropical no threat to land

Facebook Update Posted
04:35 am 08-Aug-2018 EDT

Storm Upgraded:Subtropical Storm #DEBBY toTropical Storm #DEBBY 40.8N 48.8W Wind 45MPH Moving NNE at 9 MPH

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