CFHC Talkback For News Story #96:
Newest Talkback: 03:05 AM 09-16 EDT

TD#11, Florence, and More
03:49 PM EDT - 15 September 2000

Tropical Storm Florence is moving slowly toward Bermuda. Tropical Storm warnings are up for it.

TD#11 (Possibly Gordon later tonight or tomorrow) has reformed its center, from all indications I can see. A little to the North and East of the 11AM position. This makes things interesting for the Eastern Gulf Coast. Folks along there will want to watch this, along with everyone else in the Gulf coast.

East of the Caribbean islands, a new wave is looking good to form into TD#12 fairly soon (tomorrow perhaps).

Lot's going on, and tons of speculation with TD#11 abounds. Because of some shear, Florida is getting some offshoot rain from TD#11 already. But the core will not get close until Monday or Tuesday, I believe. All the Gulf must continue to watch this system. A complex situation is arising, so be ready to expect the unexpected.

I personally will be out of town until very late Sunday night, so the page is turned over completely to John until then. (I may get on once or twice over the weekend, but I wouldn't count on it.) On Sunday afternoon, John is heading to Texas, so there will be some time where we will not be able to make updates. (Until late Sunday night). The site will still run with all the automated code, and the comment areas will as well.

Comments or Questions? Everyone is invited to use it. Use the comment button by the story Headline.

NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division Forecast Track of Active Systems (Good Forecast Track Graphic and Satellite Photos)

Map with nearly all model projected tracks plotted for TD#11. From Michael Bryson.

Crown Weather Services Tropical Update (Includes Map with multiple forecast model tracks)
Snonut's Hurricane Reports

Satellite images at: [N.A. visible] (visible -- Daytime Only) [N.A. infrared] (infrared), and [N.A. water vapor] (water vapor)--Nasa source.

A nice animated Water Vapor Image
Ocean Surface Winds Derived from the SeaWinds Scatterometer (Experimental)
StormCarib.com has reports from folks in the Caribbean islands themselves and is worth checking out when storms approach the Caribbean.
Ouragans.com Français -- L'information sur des ouragans comprenant beaucoup de liens.
Tormenta.net Español -- Gran información sobre huracanes aquí.

Some Forecast models: (NGM, AVN, MRF, ECMWF, ETA)
DoD weather models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
AVN, ECMWF, GFDL, NOGAPS, UKMET

- [mac]


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Displaying Talkbacks #1 - #2 (of 44 total)

UPPER LOW OR SURFACE LOW (#1)
Posted by:
LONNY Location: HOLLYWOOD
Posted On 04:11PM 15-Sep-2000 with id (QURNQVSNQYTNQWW*)


Looking at the latest wator vapor loops it looks like the upper low is entrenching in to the surface low. I am all lowed out.I don't know if this system is truely tropical or not.It looks like the upper low is moving s.e. in tandem with the surface or mid low-level low. I think I'll just wait and see.Other than that the wave East of the Lesser Antilles is looking better organized at this time. I think they are sending a plane to investigate tomorrow.

I Saw the Same Thing, Lonny (#2)
Posted by:
Colleen Location: Lakeland, Florida
Posted On 04:29PM 15-Sep-2000 with id (QURNQVSNRPWNQXR*)


It looks like it is trying to wrap around the newly formed LLCC to me....time will tell...but Mike C. is right...expect the unexpected...and what's new about that

TD#11 almost Gorden (#3)
Posted by: Mark Ruck Location: Ft Myers Florida
Posted On 04:31PM 15-Sep-2000 with id (QRNWWNQSTNQRV*)


Hello All,
Well the 5pm advisory is out and the center has been repositioned to 21.7n..88.0 west and now is expected to take a more n-nw drift overnight instead of a nw. Florida watch out!!


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