CFHC Talkback For News Story #125:
Newest Talkback: 03:11 PM 10-19 EDT

Tropical Storm Jose Forms. Irene Stronger than Ever..
09:43 AM EDT - 18 October 1999

Jose has formed as it is moving west toward the Caribbean islands. Soe models take it morth north toward the Leeward islands, while others keep it moving more toward the west. The best, perhaps, would be a sharp north turn and miss all the islands?

Irene never made landfall in North Carolina, and now it's stronger than it ever has been. A Category 2 storm, with conservatively 105MPH windspeed. Moving away from us, but it is somewhat interesting that its still going strong out there.



For more information on Irene and Jose,

Caribbean Hurricane Page -- Personal Reports and Updates from the Caribbean Islands
NRL Monterey Tracking Site (Navy) -- Very nice forecast track graphics.
Some Forecast models: (NGM, AVN, MRF, ECMWF, ETA)
DoD weather models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
GFDL Model & Plot for Irene and for BAMB,BAMM, LBAR & A90E Models of Irene
GFDL Model & Plot for Jose and for BAMB,BAMM, LBAR & A90E Models of Jose
Jose Multiple Model Forecast Composite from Michael Bryson
and for Irene
Weather Channel Caribbean Sat Image
Intellicast Caribbean IR Loop
Intellicast Atlantic IR Loop

More Sat images: Storm Centered imagery.

[N.A. visible] (visible -- Daytime Only) [N.A. infrared] (infrared), and [N.A. water vapor] (water vapor)--Nasa source.


- [mac]

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Displaying Talkbacks #19 - #27 (of 30 total)
Mother Nature (#19)
Posted by: AJ Location: Sanford
Posted On 07:55PM 18-Oct-1999 with id (RPTNRQUNRRYNTQ*)

Have you all not noticed, everything that is man made is straight lines. And everythnig that is Mother Nature (God)made is Not straight lines. No tree's no shore lines not mountains nothing. Think about that a minute. We all can try to predict hurricane movement. And thats about it TRY. Even the educated experts can be wrong human error and computers are made by humans.
Jose! (#20)
Posted by: Robert
Posted On 08:17PM 18-Oct-1999 with id (QYYNRRWNQSQNQPS*)



Odly enough jose hasent
realy gained much in the way
strong winds, and even at the 8 pm advisory
winds still were at 45 mph. However looking
at sat pictures, and reading vortex messages
from the hurricane hunters my prediction is that
by 11pm advisory winds will have increased to at least 60mph.



TO SCOTT AND OTHERS (#21)
Posted by: Mike (http://www.fortunecity.com/greenfield/tigris/622/weather/ectwp.htm)
Posted On 08:27PM 18-Oct-1999 with id (RPUNQXXNQYVNRY*)

First let me say this,I don't know scott or anybody on the web, but that does not mean I do not respect them for their comments in my page or any other page, I have seen more than enough of the bashing that has been going around with respect to the forums. I think it is time you all know just what you are dealing with and who. It comes in the name's of many but is only 1. with one IP address. Starting with JJ, moving on to Bill, Robert, Troy and many more I dare not speak of at this time,I myself have had the unfortunate run in with this man of many names on my own web site asking me for my credentials and threatening to report me to the National Hurricane Center, this is why much to all your suprise I used my mothers maiden name which is Anderson as my last in fear that some sick person like the one you are all dealing with could never find me or my family as he stated in an e mail to me which I have copied and pasted for the authorities. Seems he was trying to look up my past in the college I went to, but i'm not stupid I may have been born at night but it was not last night.I stated on my web site that I have attained my Bachelors of Science Degree in Meteorology which is non other than the truth. No matter who you are you have the right to talk about anything you like and until your constitution right's in America changes keep your right. I will be happy to make further any other information on this very sick individual if you like.
Mike
TO SCOTT AND OTHERS (#22)
Posted by: Mike (http://www.fortunecity.com/greenfield/tigris/622/weather/ectwp.htm)
Posted On 08:28PM 18-Oct-1999 with id (RPUNQXXNQYVNRY*)

First let me say this,I don't know scott or anybody on the web, but that does not mean I do not respect them for their comments in my page or any other page, I have seen more than enough of the bashing that has been going around with respect to the forums. I think it is time you all know just what you are dealing with and who. It comes in the name's of many but is only 1. with one IP address. Starting with JJ, moving on to Bill, Robert, Troy and many more I dare not speak of at this time,I myself have had the unfortunate run in with this man of many names on my own web site asking me for my credentials and threatening to report me to the National Hurricane Center, this is why much to all your surprise I used my mothers maiden name which is Anderson as my last in fear that some sick person like the one you are all dealing with could never find me or my family as he stated in an e mail to me which I have copied and pasted for the authorities. Seems he was trying to look up my past in the college I went to, but i'm not stupid I may have been born at night but it was not last night.I stated on my web site that I have attained my Bachelors of Science Degree in Meteorology which is non other than the truth. No matter who you are you have the right to talk about anything you like and until your constitution right's in America changes keep your right. I will be happy to make further any other information on this very sick individual if you like.
Mike
Thanks Mike (#23)
Posted by: BOB
Posted On 08:54PM 18-Oct-1999 with id (RPVNRRXNRSXNXT*)

Thanks for putting us straight Mike. Scott keep up the good work. Just goes to show you no matter what or how many names, it is the same M.O.
just JJ (#24)
Posted by: scottsvb
Posted On 10:19PM 18-Oct-1999 with id (VSNRSNQXUNQW*)

Well Mike andersons site is a good one like here.

I did say that I thought that was funny in a
statement,but I didn't mean it in a bad way, and
Mike knew that. Mike is a good forcaster,,,like
all of us,,,,,we are not professionals in here,
just the public informing others with our own
ideas and thoughts........I said also that I
will be at the NHC soon hopefully a couple years.
But you need not worry about Me Mike., Steve and
others who forcast there opinions...cause we all
love too,,and we have alot of experience in doing
this,,,some don't,but we try to state what we see
happening. well everyone get along and lets see
what will happen with Jose by morning....if he
doesn't get stronger by morning..he might enter
the carribean,,but he might just skim the islands
and head out to sea....

ALso to note on him,,,,he is getting shared to his
north....this might cause slower than expected
strengthning...making a more westnorthwest move
instead of northwest.....lets wait by morning.
Jose (#25)
Posted by: Colleen Location: Lakeland
Posted On 10:41PM 18-Oct-1999 with id (RPUNQXXNQYYNQWR*)

Ok, thanks for that report Mike...now, for more local news, let's go to Jose for some insight on this system: Jose: Well, I not sure if I am in the mood to make landfall or just go out to sea...I am just about on top of Barbados, if I like what I see, I stick around if not, I may just decide to chase Irene because she looking like one fast babe right about now. ...just a little bad humor late at night folks. Looks like the pressure is dropping steadily, not in a big way, just 1 mb at a time, but still, it is dropping. I can't wait to see what it looks like in the morning...talk to you all later. By the way...everyone here does a great job...Mike, Steve, Scott etc...let's just keep focused on the important stuff. Like my humor. Good nite all!!!
Scott (#26)
Posted by: Mike
Posted On 10:44PM 18-Oct-1999 with id (RPUNQXXNQYVNRY*)

Scott I want to tell you and all others in CFHC that I have had a great time with you all this hurricane season,I think we have had some great post's during the year and I respect each and every one of you,Please do not let the few that are unhappy with there lives put any of you down, some of the things that i have herd from all of the posters has made more sence to me than the professional people I have been interning for, Good luck to all of you in this forum and I only hope you all can find a home at my web site as well. to all my friends at CFHC
Mike
ATTNION MIKE (#27)
Posted by: TROY
Posted On 12:11AM 19-Oct-1999 with id (RPUNQURNVRNVQ*)

I am not sure if you are saying that I am JJ but if you are you need to take a stop . I am not that person. I have been posting here since Floyd and even wrote you about your site using my email address, have at times when i have rememebered put my email address on(check the recent forums Mike).

I only say this because you use my name in the same sentaance as the words" man with many names.
Mike I wish you wouldntmake sych accusations if that is in fact what you are doing. I noticed that the little id letters beside my name dont ever matchthe ones that are beside jjs name. Im sure what your using for ip address info, but mine is not the same as JJ's and you know that.

I feel yu owe me an apology. I for one have never said anything bad about anyone that posts here. The only negative thing I have ever said was when Irene wasnt heading north and evryone was ragging on the NHC. I felt it wasnt the right thing given how the storm was still making its northerly turn. (which it did do as we can see from its path)

Mike you have soured me on this site and yours which i visit alot, hoping my slow isp will let me use the chat room, but I never can get in :(






TROY (#28)
Posted by: Mike
Posted On 06:47AM 19-Oct-1999 with id (RPUNQXXNQYVNUV*)

Troy you have nothing to worrie about other than the fact that someone has used your name on this forum, the IP address im speaking about is not the same as the ID address that is given to each post's in this forum, I have had post's from a Troy that Had an IP address that matched the person im speaking about sorry for the confusion. Mike
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