Hurricane Francine
Posted: 08:12 PM 10 September 2024 | 2 Comments | Add Comment | Newest: 04:50 PM 11-Sep EDT
Francine has made landfall in the southern Louisiana Parish of Terrebonne.
Quote:
SUMMARY OF 500 PM CDT...2200 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...29.3N 91.3W
ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM SSW OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM WSW OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...972 MB...28.71 INCHES
4PM CDT 11 September 2024 Update
Category 2 Francine still intensifying heading into landfall. 972mb 100 MPH.
3:30PM CDT 11 September 2024 Update
Recon is finding winds at flight level of roughly 100 knots and this is also supported by area radar velocity data. This would support Category 2 at the furface using a reduction of 85-90% or so.
Preparations to protect life and property in warned locations should be rushed to completion and shelter taken.
10:30AM CDT 11 September 2024 Update
Above from left to right: Hurricane Francine, Area of Interest, newly-tagged Invest 94L, Invest 92L and newly upgraded TD-7
Hurricane Francine is a very dangerous high-end Category One Hurricane. As the Houston area was recently reminded, even Category One hurricanes can pack quite a punch and do tremendous damage, and take lives.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT AS OF 10AM CDT 11 September:
A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Cameron Louisiana to the Mississippi/Alabama Border
* Vermilion Bay
* Lake Maurepas
* Lake Pontchartrain
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* The Louisiana coast from Vermilion/Cameron Line eastward to Grand Isle
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Lake Maurepas and Lake Pontchartrain, including metropolitan New Orleans
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Louisiana coast east of Sabine Pass to Vermilion/Cameron Line
* East of Grand Isle Louisiana to the Alabama/Florida border
* Lake Maurepas and Lake Pontchartrain, including metropolitan New Orleans
Elsewhere, we are keeping a keen eye out for possible development off the southeast coast late this weekend or early next week. We are also keeping a lookout on newly Invest tagged 94L that is nearing the Antilles but has been in far less than ideal conditions for development, Invest 92L behind that with about the same environment, and way out by the Cabo Verdes we are tracking newly-upgraded TD-7.
The next names on the list are Gordon and Helene.
Original Update
FRANCINE BECOMES A HURRICANE
Recon this afternoon is finding Francine deepening markedly since earlier today. In addition, CONUS based radar has already been advertising a fascinating inner eye forming within Francine's large eye, and not by the more usual processes of a classic eyewall replacement cycle. Plus, satellite imagery highlights a healthy upper-level anticyclone over the Gulf, which Francine is benefiting from. All taken together, forecasts for a very stout tropical storm to a strong hurricane at landfall look largely intact, and landfall is now just hours away.
It is expected that shortly before, during or soon after landfall, extra-tropical transition will begin, with Francine interacting with a non-tropical cutoff low presently over Texas, but not without still producing intense hybrid to ultimately post-tropical weather even well inland.
Elsewhere, way out in the Atlantic we are now also tracking newly-tagged Invest 93L, as well as Invest 92L and a few other lower probability features.
Francine Event Related Links
Tropical Tidbits Page on system
[https://flhurricane.com/floatanimator.php?year=2024&storm=6 Flhurricane Satellite Floater Animation of Francine
GOES Floater
Tomer Berg Info page for Francine
Clark Evans Track Model Plot of Francine
(Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of Francine (Animated!)
Clark Evans Track Plot of Francine
Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for Francine
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on Francine -- RAMMB Info
COD Atlantic Satellite View
Tropical Depression Seven Event Related Links
Tropical Tidbits Page on system
[https://flhurricane.com/floatanimator.php?year=2024&storm=7 Flhurricane Satellite Floater Animation of TD7
GOES Floater
Tomer Berg Info page for TD7
Clark Evans Track Model Plot of TD7
(Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of TD7 (Animated!)
Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for TD7
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on TD7 -- RAMMB Info
COD Atlantic Satellite View
Invest 92L Event Related Links
Tropical Tidbits Page on system
[https://flhurricane.com/floatanimator.php?year=2024&storm=8 Flhurricane Satellite Floater Animation of 92L
GOES Floater
Tomer Berg Info page for 92L
Clark Evans Track Model Plot of 92L
(Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of 92L (Animated!)
Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for 92L
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on 92L -- RAMMB Info
COD Atlantic Satellite View
Invest 94L Event Related Links
Tropical Tidbits Page on system
[https://flhurricane.com/floatanimator.php?year=2024&storm=9 Flhurricane Satellite Floater Animation of 94L
GOES Floater
Tomer Berg Info page for 94L
Clark Evans Track Model Plot of 94L
(Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of 94L (Animated!)
Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for 94L
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on 94L -- RAMMB Info
COD Atlantic Satellite View
North Gulf Links North Gulf/Southern Mississippi Valley Composite Radar Loop (Latest Static) East to West:
Mobile, AL Radar Radar Loop (Latest Static)
New Orleans, LA Radar Radar Loop (Latest Static)
Lake Charles, LA Radar Radar Loop (Latest Static)
Houston/Galveston, TX Radar Radar Loop (Latest Static)
Gulf of Mexico Satellite Imagery
Area Forecast Discussions: Mississippi/Alabama/Pensacola - New Orleans, LA - Lake Charles, LA - Houston/Galveston, TX
Louisiana Information
Govt/Official Info:
Louisiana Emergency Management
Mississippi Emergency Management
Louisiana Dept. of Transportation - Road Closures, Traffic Cams, etc.
Mississippi - Road Closures, Traffic Cams, etc
Alabama Road Conditions and Traffic Cameras
Media Newspapers/TV/Radio:
Nola.com New Orleans Times-Picayune
WWL TV 4 (CBS Affiliate in New Orleans)
ABC 26 TV (ABC Affiliate in New Orleans)
WDSU Channel 6 (NBC Affiliate New Orleans)
- Lake Charles, LA Area Media and Information