Polo Recuruving into Northwestern Mexico and Southwestern United States
Posted: 11:41 PM 27 September 2026 | 1 Comment | Add Comment | Newest: 12:40 PM 28-Sep EDT
Polo is likely to bring substantial direct and indirect impacts to the southwestern to central United States after making landfall twice on northwestern Mexico. Interests in and along the Baja California within the warned areas should be rushing preps to protect life and property to completion from a landfalling serious hurricane.
Once further inland, Polo and/or its remnants will track into the United States by way of New Mexico/eastern Arizona/western Texas, and combined with a Predecessor Rain Event (PRE), is set to produce widespread and potentially locally catastrophic and life-threatening flash flooding throughout multiple southwestern-central US and northwestern MX states.

More modeling on Hurricane Polo and deep-dive details into US flooding potential can be found in the Forum under "Other Storm Basins" Hurricane Polo (de facto Lounge)
Elsewhere, now Major Hurricane Nolo continues pulling away from the Big Island of Hawaii to the west, while in the Atlantic, TD Fay and Invest 91L spin more fish. Gonzalo is falling apart in the far eastern Atlantic.
Fay Event Related Links
Tropical Tidbits Page on system
Flhurricane Satellite Floater Animation of Fay
GOES Floater
Tomer Berg Info page for Fay
CyclonicWx Page for Fay
Clark Evans Track Model Plot of Fay
(Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of Fay (Animated!)
Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for Fay
http://www.ral.ucar.edu/guidance/realtime/current/ More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on Fay -- RAMMB Info
COD Atlantic Satellite View
Gonzalo Event Related Links
Tropical Tidbits Page on system
Flhurricane Satellite Floater Animation of Gonzalo
GOES Floater
Tomer Berg Info page for Gonzalo
CyclonicWx Page for Gonzalo
Clark Evans Track Model Plot of Gonzalo
(Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of Gonzalo (Animated!)
Clark Evans Track Plot of Gonzalo
Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for Gonzalo
http://www.ral.ucar.edu/guidance/realtime/current/ More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on Gonzalo -- RAMMB Info
COD Atlantic Satellite View
Hanna Event Related Links
Tropical Tidbits Page on system
Flhurricane Satellite Floater Animation of Hanna
GOES Floater
Tomer Berg Info page for Hanna
CyclonicWx Page for Hanna
Clark Evans Track Model Plot of Hanna
(Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of Hanna (Animated!)
Clark Evans Track Plot of Hanna
Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for Hanna
http://www.ral.ucar.edu/guidance/realtime/current/ More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on Hanna -- RAMMB Info
COD Atlantic Satellite View
Re: Hurricane PoloMost recent Globals+CAMS forecast valid 06z Wednesday for surface (2-meter) relative humidity and wind speed+direction (barbs).These runs forecast an incredible amount of moisture for this part of the country with rel...
Re: Hurricane PoloExcessive Rainfall DiscussionNWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD835 PM EDT Sun Sep 27 2026Day 1Valid 01Z Mon Sep 28 2026 - 12Z Mon Sep 28 2026...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FOR PARTS OF TH...
Re: Hurricane PoloCollection of the most recent 0z runs of Globals + Hurricane Models Credit: TropicalTidbits
Re: Modeled Wet Hybrid Cyclone off Mid-AtlanticModels increasingly want to transition this into a full hybrid trending tropical heading into landfall. The most recent HAFS-A run strongly implies hurricane-force wind gusts, potentially locally at or above 90 MPH, b...
Re: Modeled Wet Hybrid Cyclone off Mid-AtlanticThe Nor'easter continues to intensify this morning, last analyzed to 995 mb, and currently generating storm-force winds with significant wave heights to near 27 ft, or just over 8 m. Visible satellite loop along w...
Re: Modeled Wet Hybrid Cyclone off Mid-Atlantic0z runs fro 09/25 strongly supporting something quasi-tropical (likely warm seclusion that at least attempts to become more classically tropical). Strong tropical storm to hurricane-force gusts advertised as likely if...
General Hurricane Links
A curated collection of official sources, observations, models, and tropical weather commentary. For urgent weather information, always check official government sources first.
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- Tropical Tidbits (Levi Cowan)
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