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POLO HEADS FOR BAJA, NW MX, SW US. LARGEST MODERATE RISK FOR FLOODING EVER ISSUED IN SW US THIS WEEK. NOLO HEADS FOR NW HAWAII. HANNA FORMS, GOIN FISHING..
Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 718 (Milton), US Major: 718 (Milton), FL Any: 718 (Milton), FL Major: 718 (Milton)
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Polo Recuruving into Northwestern Mexico and Southwestern United States

Posted: 11:41 PM 27 September 2026 | 1 Comment | Add Comment | Newest: 12:40 PM 28-Sep EDT

Another Pacific hurricane threatening the United States, this time from the southwest: Major Hurricane Polo.

Polo is likely to bring substantial direct and indirect impacts to the southwestern to central United States after making landfall twice on northwestern Mexico. Interests in and along the Baja California within the warned areas should be rushing preps to protect life and property to completion from a landfalling serious hurricane.

Once further inland, Polo and/or its remnants will track into the United States by way of New Mexico/eastern Arizona/western Texas, and combined with a Predecessor Rain Event (PRE), is set to produce widespread and potentially locally catastrophic and life-threatening flash flooding throughout multiple southwestern-central US and northwestern MX states.


More modeling on Hurricane Polo and deep-dive details into US flooding potential can be found in the Forum under "Other Storm Basins" Hurricane Polo (de facto Lounge)

Elsewhere, now Major Hurricane Nolo continues pulling away from the Big Island of Hawaii to the west, while in the Atlantic, TD Fay and Invest 91L spin more fish. Gonzalo is falling apart in the far eastern Atlantic.








Latest Public Forum Posts
  • Post thumbnail
    Re: Hurricane Polo
    Other Storm Basins | by cieldumort | Sep 28, 2026 12:28 AM
    Most recent Globals+CAMS forecast valid 06z Wednesday for surface (2-meter) relative humidity and wind speed+direction (barbs).These runs forecast an incredible amount of moisture for this part of the country with rel...
  • Post thumbnail
    Re: Hurricane Polo
    Other Storm Basins | by cieldumort | Sep 28, 2026 12:09 AM
    Excessive Rainfall DiscussionNWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD835 PM EDT Sun Sep 27 2026Day 1Valid 01Z Mon Sep 28 2026 - 12Z Mon Sep 28 2026...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FOR PARTS OF TH...
  • Post thumbnail
    Re: Hurricane Polo
    Other Storm Basins | by cieldumort | Sep 27, 2026 11:47 PM
    Collection of the most recent 0z runs of Globals + Hurricane Models Credit: TropicalTidbits
  • Post thumbnail
    Re: Modeled Wet Hybrid Cyclone off Mid-Atlantic
    2026 Forecast Lounge | by cieldumort | Sep 25, 2026 1:07 PM
    Models increasingly want to transition this into a full hybrid trending tropical heading into landfall. The most recent HAFS-A run strongly implies hurricane-force wind gusts, potentially locally at or above 90 MPH, b...
  • Post thumbnail
    Re: Modeled Wet Hybrid Cyclone off Mid-Atlantic
    2026 Forecast Lounge | by cieldumort | Sep 25, 2026 11:07 AM
    The Nor'easter continues to intensify this morning, last analyzed to 995 mb, and currently generating storm-force winds with significant wave heights to near 27 ft, or just over 8 m. Visible satellite loop along w...
  • Post thumbnail
    Re: Modeled Wet Hybrid Cyclone off Mid-Atlantic
    2026 Forecast Lounge | by cieldumort | Sep 25, 2026 2:03 AM
    0z runs fro 09/25 strongly supporting something quasi-tropical (likely warm seclusion that at least attempts to become more classically tropical). Strong tropical storm to hurricane-force gusts advertised as likely if...
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