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Bay of Campeche area now up to 40% chacce for development over the next 5 days. Heavy rain in the area likely.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 226 (Zeta) , Major: 289 (Laura) Florida - Any: 976 (Michael) Major: 976 (Michael)
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June Gulf System

Posted: 10:27 AM 12 June 2021 | | Add Comment

The area in the Bay of Campeche along the southwestern Gulf of Mexico now has a 40% chance to develop over the next 5 days, and a 10% chance within the next 48 hours. It's likely going to be mostly a rain event. With the overall pattern and the winds at higher levels in the atmosphere, if anything develops, it likely would be a sheared system with most of rain and convection to right of the center. Still worth watching for those along the northern Gulf coast for late this coming week into next weekend.

For those in Mexico, it will bring a lot of rain as it tries to consolidate.

Currently there is no invest area for this system. The forecast lounge is discussing the longer range models on it.

North Gulf Links North Gulf/Southern Mississippi Valley Composite Radar Loop (Latest Static) East to West:

Mobile, AL Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

New Orleans, LA Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Lake Charles, LA Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Houston/Galveston, TX Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Gulf of Mexico Satellite Imagery

Area Forecast Discussions: Mississippi/Alabama/Pensacola - New Orleans, LA - Lake Charles, LA - Houston/Galveston, TX

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