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SEASON PEAK IN ATLANTIC RECORD QUIET AS ANOTHER HURRICANE THREATENS HAWAII (LOWELL)
Posted: 12:50 PM 07 September 2026 | | Add Comment

Above: Major Hurricane Lowell while tracking north-northeast towards Hawaii. Credits: Deelan Jariwala and cyclonicwx.com
With the exception of home-grown Edouard sneaking past many models to become a formidable tropical storm in the western Gulf, the Atlantic basin has otherwise been incredibly quiet so far during the heart of hurricane season. This is not the case in the Pacific with yet another hurricane heading towards the great state of Hawaii.
As of Sunday September 7, 2026 500 AM HST, Hurricane Lowell was located near 17.5N 162.6W, now tracking north-northeast around 14 mph. Hurricane Warnings are now up for Kauai County, including the islands of Kauai and Niihau and also the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument from Nihoa to French Frigate Shoals. A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for Oahu.
Lowell is a formidable hurricane and still a Major as of this update. The hurricane has been a Category 5 and despite 'weakening' in quotes, much of this energy does not rapidly go away with the decrease in category and interests in the hurricane warned portions of western Hawaii should begin rushing preparations to protect life and property to completion.
Lowell is producing impacts over a large area and the Big Island of Hawaii, even miles and miles away from the center, will likely experience flash flooding yet again. Some flooding has already begun from Lowell across the islands.
An additional 6 to 10 inches for Kauai, is forecast, locally 16 inches possible. For the Big Island, 4 to 8 inches of rain likely, locally up to 12 inches. Oahu and Maui counties can expect up to 8 inches, also locally higher.
We have Lounge two threads for Lowell ongoing in the Forums (Other Basins - General discussion) and a (Lounge - More modeling)
Latest Public Forum Posts
Re: Lowell Forecast Lounge: Hawaii ThreatLowell continues a trend of tracking to the right of NHC forecast. Image credit: polarwx.com
Re: Lowell Forecast Lounge: Hawaii ThreatNew early model viewer being worked on, good for lowell:https://flhurricane.com/throwbackspaghetti.php#storm=EP122026
Re: Lowell: Another Hawa’i Threat?Open this post for details.
Re: Long Range 2026Western tropical Atlantic/Caribbean (10-20°N, 85-50°W) vertical wind shear continues to shatter previous records, with average shear in the western Atlantic for the past 30 days >3 kt stronger than any other year...
Re: Lowell Forecast Lounge: Hawaii ThreatTropical Tidbits on X
Re: Lowell and Karina - Potential Weather For HawaiiThe most recent FNV3 has backed off potential for significant interaction between Karina and Lowell, taking Karina on a more northerly course. Lowell, however, could pose a direct threat to the islands, based on this ...
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