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Depression-Like System now bringing banding and training Heavy rains and Tstorms to parts of Tx. May drench the region for several days.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 254 (Nate) , Major: 272 (Maria) Florida - Any: 282 (Irma) Major: 282 (Irma)
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Atlantic Hurricane Season 2018 Officially Begins

Posted: 07:02 AM 01 June 2018 | | Add Comment

Today marks the first day of the 2018 Atlantic Hurricane season, which runs intil November 30th.
Last year, Harvey, Irma, Maria, Nate, the 4 hurricanes that hit the United States last year will be remembered. The first three, Harvey, Irma, and Maria were the trio that broke the chain of no major us-landfalling hurricanes for 11 years prior. These affected the areas they hit greatly.

Rockport, Texas by the wind, and much of eastern Texas from the flooding rains. Harvey was retired and will remain a strong memory for many in the area.

Irma, wiping out Barbuda in the Caribbean, ST. Martin, Virgin Islands, and others, before moving into Cuba and Florida, the worst damage on the mainland being just east of Key West, FL.

Maria, first devistating the island of Dominica before tearing apart much of Puerto Rico.

This year won’t be like that, but there is no guarantee another major hurricane will not hit again, in different ways. The water temperatures are a bit cooler, and the shear is likely to be more impactful, but still the overall favorible pattern exists. Alberto was the early foray into the season, with one of the oddest sub-tropical systems that we’ve seen in a good while.

Beyond Alberto, the next area to watch is likely the West Caribbean and Gulf still (particularly in 10-12 days), then expanding into more of the Atlantic in July.

Once again we’ll be watching out in the Atlantic, and Hawaii if any storms threaten there.

This is also the first year of operational Goes-16 satellite data, which is still being integrated into various websites.

Remember, this site (and others like it) should just supplement, but not replace the official sources.

Be Hurricane prepared!

Sales Tax Holiday

This year Florida has a Hurricane Supply Sales Tax Holiday running June 1-7, 2018

This Includes reusable ice packs $10 or less.

$20 or less flashlights, lanters, cancles.

$25 or less: Any gas or diesel fuel container, including LP gas and kerosene containers

$30 or less: Batteries, including rechargeable batteries, excluding automobile and boat
Coolers and ice chests (food-storage; nonelectrical)

$50 or less: tarps, Visqueen, plastic sheeting, plastic drop cloths, and other flexible waterproof sheeting
Ground anchor systems, Tie-down kits, Bungee cords, Ratchet straps, Radios (powered by battery, solar, or hand-crank)
Two-way, Weather band

and Portable Generators Selling for $750 or less.

Invest 91L Event Related Links

Animated Skeetobite Model Plot of 91L


SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page
Clark Evans Track Model Plot of 91L (Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of 91L (Animated!)

Clark Evans Track Plot of 91L

Other Model Charts from Clark

Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for 91L
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on 91L -- RAMMB Info

Floater Satellite Images: Visible (Loop), IR (Loop), WV (Loop), Dvorak (Loop), AVN (Loop), RGB (Loop), Rainbow (Loop), Funktop (Loop), RB Top Loop)

Facebook Update Posted
07:42 pm 18-Jun-2018 EDT

Depression-Like System now bringing banding and training Heavy rains and Tstorms to parts of Tx. May drench the region for several days.

Facebook Update Posted
02:19 pm 18-Jun-2018 EDT

Disturbance now moving into the Texas coast, bringing moderate to heavy showers, thunderstorms and some wind

Facebook Update Posted
12:53 pm 18-Jun-2018 EDT

A closed low may have formed east of Corpus Christi this morning, but limited time over the Gulf a challenge

Facebook Update Posted
04:52 am 18-Jun-2018 EDT

Trof expected to bring some heavy rains to parts of Texas in the new week, but unlikely to develop.

Facebook Update Posted
02:05 pm 16-Jun-2018 EDT

20% Chance of W Gulf Development this weekend. Heavy rains and some winds either way for parts of Yucatan, Texas & Louisiana

Facebook Update Posted
11:55 am 16-Jun-2018 EDT

Good afternoon...while our tropical disturbance down near Yucatan looks somewhat impressive on satellite; the winds aloft are only favorable on the NW side of the system and hostile everywhere else at this time. There is sufficient gradient between an upper ridge center near the Azores with its axis extending westward and its surface high pressure to create strong trade winds near gale force over the western and central Gulf of Mexico. Overall the system will move NW towards TX/LA later in the weekend. There is a small upper low located over NW FL this morning that's been in the area for a few days that developed from a cluster of thunderstorms over MS and has drifted ESE to its current location. This system is not tropical. The remnants of Pacific storm "Bud" is giving parts of AZ and NM some beneficial rainfall but drier weather returns for their neck of the woods starting tomorrow. Winds aloft over the entire southern basin are unfavorable for the foreseeable future. Everybody have a wonderful weekend from wherever all of you hail from!

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