MikeCAdministrator
(Admin)
Fri Sep 10 2004 08:43 PM
Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica

Jim Williams and his Hurricane City Broadcast from 8PM till 11PM and running radio from Jamaica at other times... -- Link to Real Audio -- updated!
Let Jim know where you are from.. Use this link to listen

8PM Update
Hurricane Winds are up to 150MPH at 8PM, pressure is 926mb. Jamaica is in its sights. Many have not evacuated there (From radio reports) so the chance of loss of life is high. It's getting too late to do so now as winds are starting to pick up there. Good luck Jamaica!
Jamaica News
CocoLaPalm, Negril, Jamaica Webcam

7PM Update
Recond has found a pressure reading of 927 MB, down from the 937 at the 5PM advisory, which indicates Ivan is gaining strength.

Original Update
Hurricane Ivan remains a category 4 system as it approaches Jamaica, the current forecast keeps it a Category 4 as it nears the coast. The eye of Ivan looked ragged earlier today, but now it has shown itself again so it may strengthen again. The wind speed, however, is down slightly to 140MPH. Ivan has slowed a little so it may be overnight before Jamaica sees the worst of it. And the forecast track has Ivan going in along the western edge of Jamaica, leaving the northeast side (usually the worst side of the storm) to go across most of Jamaica.



To those in Jamaica, again prayers and best of luck go to you. This will be the strongest storm you have dealt with directly in many years.



After Jamaica, Hurricane Ivan is still expected to cross into Cuba and near the west coast of Florida. Unfortunately, even at 5PM, the future track beyond 5PM is uncertain. The official track is the same as earlier, and the National Hurricane Center mentions a possibility that they may shift their track west a bit tonight, which would mean more for the panhandle and for the other northern Gulf coast states.

Again this graphic is prone to large error.


More will come later.

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Event RelatedLinks
Jamaican Radar (long and short range)
Jamaican Weather Service
Stormcarib personal reports from Jamaica
Ivan Models -- This image animated over time
Ivan Spaghetti Model from Hurricanealley/boatus (Working Link)
Weather Underground Model Plots for Ivan
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Nice color satellite image
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