MikeCAdministrator
(Admin)
Sat Sep 11 2004 10:56 PM
Hurricane Ivan Again Category Five

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Hurricane Ivan regained category 5 strength this afternoon and its path is taking it toward the Cayman Islands and eventually western Cuba. It's supposed to encounter shear before it nears the US, but it looks like it will remain a major hurricane throughout the period.



After Cuba is what most folks in the US are interested in, and this time the risk for the northeastern gulf is increased and the threat to central Florida decreased. Although the track error that far out still could be large. It would be Tuesday night or Wednesday for landfall on the current schedule and a lot could happen in the gulf.

The forecast that far out is still very uncertain so folks along the gulf will want to watch, especially the eastern half of the Gulf. Watch the trends.




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Event RelatedLinks

Stormcarib personal reports from Jamaica
Ivan Models -- This image animated over time
Ivan Spaghetti Model from Hurricanealley/boatus (Working Link)
Weather Underground Model Plots for Ivan
The Caribbean Hurricane Page - updates from the islands
Caribbean Island Weather Reports
Nice color satellite image
Animated Color Ivan Satellite (With NHC Track Overlay)
(Animated Version)
High Speed Satellite Loops (Click floater)
Forecast Discussions for (Show All Locations):
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Melbourne
Hurricane Local Statements for Weather Offices in:
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General Links
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Current Aircraft Recon Info

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NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division Forecast Track of Active Systems (Good Forecast Track Graphic and Satellite Photos)

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NASA GHCC Interactive Satellite images at:

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Some forecast models:
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AVN, CMC, GFDL, JMA, NOGAPS, UKMET

DoD Weather Models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)

Multi-model plots from WREL
Other commentary at Independentwx.com, Robert Lightbown/Crown Weather Tropical Update Accuweather's Joe Bastardi (now subcriber only unfortunately), Hurricane Alley North Atlantic Page, HurricaneVille, Cyclomax (Rich B.), Hurricane City , mpittweather , WXRisk, Gary Gray's Millennium Weather, storm2k, Barometer Bob's Hurricane Hollow, Snonut,

Even more on the links page.



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