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Tropical Storm Ivan has made landfall... again... on the Lousiana coastline near the Texas border. It's expected to meander and be a major rain producer for Texas. There is a chance Ivan will move back into the Gulf again like a bad horror flick. This is a map based of the National Hurricane Center, do not focus on the center of the track errors may be large Thanks Skeetobite Jeanne, the one Florida is concerned with, is on the high end of the Category 2 scale and has made it's move, now toward the west northwest. The tremendous ridge to the north of it should keep it moving west, and maybe more southward as time goes on. The new 5PM Track takes it deeper into Florida, and landfalling near where Frances did. I still expect it (as of now) to be no higher than category 2 when it makes landfall, but the storm may get to Category 3 in the water before then. Therefore there is a chance it that Jeanne may be another major hurricane landfalling in Florida (lets hope not). The forecast track is very uncertain, since the National Hurricane Center is suggesting not to focus on the exact track (which I agree, especially out more than 36 hours) I will as well. Event Related Links Hurricane Local Statements for Weather Offices in: All Current Hurricane Local Statements Ivan Models -- This image animated over time Jeanne Models -- This image animated over time Karl Models -- This image animated over time Lisa Models -- This image animated over time Jeanne Sphagehtti Model from BoatUS/Hurricane Alley Ivan Plots from Weather Underground Jeanne Plots from Weather Underground Jeanne Satelllite Image with track/radar Overlays Forecast Discussions for (Show All Locations): Tampa. Miami, Key West, Jacksonville. Melbourne General Links Skeetobite's storm track maps Current Aircraft Recon Info (Decoded) thanks Londovir Other Recon Info NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division Forecast Track of Active Systems (Good Forecast Track Graphic and Satellite Photos) Check the Storm Forum from time to time for comments on any new developing system. Follow worldwide SST evolution here: Global SST Animation NASA GHCC Interactive Satellite images at: North Atlantic Visible (Daytime Only), Infrared, Water Vapor LSU Sat images Some forecast models: NGM, AVN, MRF, ETA ECMWF AVN, CMC, GFDL, JMA, NOGAPS, UKMET DoD Weather Models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF) Multi-model plots from Mid-Atlantic Weather Other commentary at Independentwx.com, Robert Lightbown/Crown Weather Tropical Update Accuweather's Joe Bastardi (now subcriber only unfortunately), Hurricane Alley North Atlantic Page, HurricaneVille, Cyclomax (Rich B.), Hurricane City , mpittweather , WXRisk, Gary Gray's Millennium Weather, storm2k, Barometer Bob's Hurricane Hollow, Snonut, Even more on the links page. |