10:45AM
Hurricane Jeanne is now category 3 with 115MPH winds pressure down to 955 and strengthening...

Forecast track shifted left a bit more, more of a threat to Palm Beach County and Martin county. Still could turn north, but that is getting less likely. The new NHC forecast track does take it up the peninsula after it makes landfall, however.

Hurricane watches are now also up for parts of the Florida west coast.

You should not focus on the exact track within this map, the storm is a large area and the track may be off many miles. All areas in the warning area need to prepare.

more to come.

Original Update
Overnight Jeanne strengthened some, pressure went down to 957 and windspeed went up 5mph. The structure of the storm is still good. This morning's aircraft recon found clouds in the eye, but still a closed eyewall, meaning during today as it moves over more warm water it could strengthen. The NHC even said possibly to Category 4. The current Dvorak T numbers (satellite windspeed estimates) also seem to back up this claim of strengthening. (6.5T)

Jeanne is currently nearing Abaco island in the Bahamas.

However, things that would keep it from that strength are the large size of the eyewall (if it begins to shrink watch out), and some of the dry air around it. Jeanne has been handling the dry air around it ok so far. So the forecast is for a major hurricane landfalling on the east coast. Even though pressure had dropped overnight it isn't dropping as fast now..

The track has shifted a little west. So it includes going up the peninsula... Through Charley, Frances affected areas. The forward speed has increased, and the eye is now visible on the Miami long range radar. The worst of it will occur overnight tonight, but rainbands from the storm will begin this afternoon.

You should not focus on the exact track within this map, the storm is a large area and the track may be off many miles. All areas in the warning area need to prepare.

This track could veer left or right... If if veered left, it would take it into West Palm Beach, and, if so, would bring the worst to the northern part of Palm Beach county. If it veers to the right it would bring Brevard county and Indian River counties into the worst of the mix. The northern half of the storm is the more dangerous (although I still wouldn't want to be in the southern semicircle either) around the eyewall. Recon is interesting though, although they had found pressures around 957 earlier, they haven't reported back as high of max flight level winds which suggests to me that jeanne may be restructuring a bit.

Anyway, since the hurricane center has brought it up, I'd be prepared for a category 4 system striking, and hope and pray for less.

And at this point heed the advice of local officials and listen to local media.

Event Related Links

StormCarib reports from the Bahamas
You can find links to County Emergency Management offices at floridadisaster.org
Jeanne Color Satellite
Various Audio/Video Feeds from hurricane affected areas
Hurricane Local Statements for Weather Offices in:
All Current Hurricane Local Statements

Hurricanetrack HIRT vehicle (camera, and more)

Melbourne (East Central Florida) - Long Range Radar Loop
Miami (South Florida) - Long Range Radar Loop
Jacksonville (North Florida) - Long Range Radar Loop

Jeanne Models -- This image animated over time
Karl Models -- This image animated over time
Lisa Models -- This image animated over time
Jeanne Sphagehtti Model from BoatUS/Hurricane Alley
Jeanne Plots from Weather Underground
Jeanne Satelllite Image with track/radar Overlays

Jeanne Radar Image

Forecast Discussions for (Show All Locations):
Tampa. Miami, Key West, Jacksonville.
Melbourne

General Links
Skeetobite's storm track maps

Current Aircraft Recon Info (Decoded) thanks Londovir
Other Recon Info

NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division Forecast Track of Active Systems (Good Forecast Track Graphic and Satellite Photos)

Check the Storm Forum from time to time for comments on any new developing system.

Follow worldwide SST evolution here:

Global SST Animation

NASA GHCC Interactive Satellite images at:

North Atlantic Visible (Daytime Only), Infrared, Water Vapor
LSU Sat images

Some forecast models:
NGM, AVN, MRF, ETA ECMWF
AVN, CMC,GFDL, JMA,NOGAPS,UKMET

DoD Weather Models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
Multi-model plots from Mid-Atlantic Weather
Other commentary at Independentwx.com, Robert Lightbown/Crown Weather Tropical Update Accuweather's Joe Bastardi (now subcriber only unfortunately), Hurricane Alley North Atlantic Page, Hurricanetrack.com (Mark Sudduth), HurricaneVille, Cyclomax (Rich B.), Hurricane City , mpittweather , WXRisk, Gary Gray's Millennium Weather, storm2k, Barometer Bob's Hurricane Hollow, Snonut,

Even more on the links page.