Arlene wasn't organized enough last night to get to Hurricane Strength, but it remains a strong Stropical Storm this morning. It's appearance on satellite still has most of the energy to the north and east, but the ragged eye has been visible on radar.

It has jjogged a little westward this morning making Alabama the most likely point of landfall, giving points east the worst iof it. It has one more chance to burst and make it to hurricane strength, but it isn't likely. And I hope it does not.

This possibility is why the Hurricane Warnings remain up. After landfall it will move inland quickly up through Alabama aroundand turn right around Kentucky, making a rain event for those areas with some rain. Since it's a fast mover the flooding chance is reduced, but it is still there because of possible downpours.

See jason Kelley's Lastest Blog for more discussion.

Outside of Arlene there is another area in the Northeastern Caribbean, but I don't expect much out of it currently. It is still June, after all. However, as it drifts westward it might reach an area where conditionks could be favorable for it. So it's something to watch.

Event Related Links

Key west long range radar loop
Tampa Long Range Radar loop

Color Sat of Arlene

Animated model plots for Arlene - Static model plot
Electronic Map Wall (PSU)
Caribbean Island Weather Reports