September 16, 2005 at 8:30AM Update
Ophelia is starting to move away toward the north northeast, tropical storm watches are up along the coast of Massachusetts, mainly because some of the energy of Ophelia may get close enough to cause some coastal winds.

The waves in the Atlantic are stil being watched as well.
East of the islands (aka 95L) is still holding, about the same chance as yesterday for it to form. I think it wil turn more northward over the next day or two.

The wave north of Puerto Rico is still there, looking a bit better this morning Chances for development there are slowly increasing, but it still is rather low at the moment.

Not really anything else going on, the Gulf is pretty clear, and it's about the time for the African waves to start slowing down, so not much more is expected that way.

Developmental Chances for wave north of Puerto Rico in next two days:
Code:


forget it) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 (sure thing)
          [---*------------------]

Original Update
Hurricane Ophelia sideswiped the coast line in Southeast North Carolina, with morehead city getting the most of it on the Northwest and north side of the eyewall. Which is some of the worst of the weather, but if anything good came of it the worst parts in the Northeast and toward the east part of the storm did not make landfall.

You can see an animated radar image of this here (Broadband only!)

And thus the exact center of Ophelia never made landfall. Ophelia finally is now starting to move away from the coastline and eventually out to sea.

Beyond Ophelia we still have the tropical wave east of the Leeward islands in the Atlantic, (called 95L) that is still moving westward and has a chance to become a depression in the next several days.

Chances that the wave east fo the islands will develop into a depression or tropcial storm within the next two days:
Code:


forget it) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 (sure thing)
          [-------*--------------]

Beyond that, there is an area northeast of Puerto Rico that seems to be a far edge tail of the former Nate area that will have to be watched, but development chances of that are very low right now.

Image courtesy SkeetobiteWeather.com
Comments/Feedback on the maps look here.

Event Related Links
Radars, Satellite

CFHC Recording ongoing of Ophelia Morhead City and Wilmington, NC Radars

Charleston, SC Long Range Radar
Wilmington, NC Long Range Radar
Morehead City, NC Long Range Radar

Color Sat of Gulf
RAMSDIS high speed visible Floater of Storms
Spaghetti Style model plots from Colorado State University

Forecast Discussions for (Show All Locations)
Charleston, SC

Ophelia

Animated model plots of Ophelia
Google Map Plot of Ophelia
Floater IR Satellite of Ophelia
Floater WV Satellite of Ophelia
Floater Visible Satellite of Ophelia

Wave 95L

Animated model plots of 95L

Wave 96L