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7:45 AM Update 5 September 2008 Hanna is now east of Florida and continues to be moving Northeast. It has a broad windfield and wind will be felt much earlier than the center arrives in the Carolinas later Today. The Florida east coast will receive some rain and less than tropical storm force wind until later today as it passes by. Ike continues to move west and slightly south, and the long range forecast still is suspect either way, it will likely have to be monitored. If you aren't prepared already it wouldn't hurt to get some supplies. But still Ike may go further south or north than the line indicates, do not focus on the exact track line... the entire cone is a possibility. Ike will enter a less favorable area for development, so it is likely to weaken some today. It is forecast to regain strength later, however. Original Update Tropical Storm Hanna, a broad 65MPH Tropical storm, is moving northwest and will likely near and cross the coastal Carolinas tomorrow night. It has a small window to increase in strength, so hurricane WAtches are up from Edisto Beach in South Carolina, Northward to Currituck Beach Light (Including Pamlico Sound) in North Carolina, Tropical Storm Warnings are now up from the Savannah river, northward to the border of Virginia and North Carolina. Tropical Storm watches are now up for points northward into Great Egg Inlet in New Jersey. This watch area also includes the entire Chesapeake Bay. See Local Statements (Top of main page) for more information. Tropical storm force winds extend pretty far from the center, 315 miles or so, but only on the North and Eastern Sides. This means its likely Florida will see little to nothing from Hanna, but north of Florida conditions will likely worsen, and winds will come well in advance in the landfall area sometime tomorrow. Hurricane Ike continues to maintain itself as a major Category 4 storm. Ike will likely get into Recon Aircraft range tomorrow. The forecast track currently tracks it through the Bahamas (those there will need to pay close attention) and eventually near the Florida coastline, although there is a great deal of uncertainty in the track at the 4 + day range, so things may change. Watch model trends and NHC updates as time progresses on this dangerous storm. Ike will likely weaken some over time (perhaps quite a bit if it gets into areas where Hanna upwelled) as it approaches an area of shear, but if it maintains its relatively small size it will have a chance to restrengthen after the bout with shear. We'll be watching it very closely also. Josephine still is most likely to turn out to sea, but it is by no means a sure thing. Hanna level 3 radar recording from HCW. Color Sat of Gulf RAMSDIS high speed visible Floater of Storms Spaghetti Style model plots from Colorado State University Forecast Discussions for (Show All Locations) Charleston, SC Wilmington, NC Morehead City, NC Hampton Roads Area of Virginia Washington, DC Philadelphia, PA Emergency Management: North Carolina Emergency Management South Carolina Emergency Management Ike Related: State of Florida Division of Emergency Management/floridadisaster.org Florida County Emergency Management Websites Forecast Discussions for (Show All Locations): Tampa,Miami, Key West, Melbourne Tallahassee Southeast Radar Composite (loop) {{radarlink|jax|Jacksonville Radar}} {{radarlink|mlb|Melbourne Radar}} {{radarlink|clx|Charleston, SC Radar}} {{radarlink|ltx|Wilmington, NC Radar}} {{radarlink|mhx|Morehead City, NC Radar}} {{radarlink|akq|Wakefield/ Norfolk/ VA Beach, VA Radar}} {{radarlink|dox|Dover, DE Radar}} {{radarlink|dix|Mount Holly, NJ Radar}} Google Plot of Hanna, Ike, and Josephine {{StormCarib}} Caribbean Islands Weather Reports {{StormLinks|Hanna|08|8|2008|2|Hanna}} {{StormLinks|Ike|09|9|2008|4|Ike}} {{StormLinks|Josephine|10|10|2008|1|Josephine}} |