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8PM Update Ike looks to be taking the southerly route, back up to Category 4 strength, and still moving west southwest, it will likely make landfall in eastern Cuba and then eventually enter the Gulf, which means it is possible areas that Gustav hit will be affected once again. But the entire Gulf coast will want to watch it. Intensity wise, it is also uncertain how much it will be based on land interactions. Original Update Tropical Storm Hanna is inland over North Carolina after making landfall at the NC/SC border, and it is racing North Northeast right now at 22MPH. It will affect Virginia and the coastal Northeast US before moving out to sea. Hurricane Ike's forecast has moved south, perhaps skirting the northern coast of Cuba, or actually crossing Cuba before winding up in the Gulf. Which would unfortunately be another land falling hurricane on Cuba this year. Since Ike is already a bit further south than projected, this looks the most likely situation. Which is better news for folks in Florida and the Keys, but the all clear is not ready yet. None of the widely used tropical forecasting models have it crossing anywhere in Florida now, at least from the east or south side. It's too early to determine what will occur in the Gulf, although it is likely to wind up in the Central to Eastern Gulf next week, possibly close to Florida West coast, as the GFDL shows this morning, or further west in the Gulf. Parts of Florida remain in the cone, so it is worth keeping an eye on, but the concern for the east coast of Florida is much much less than a day ago. And it will likely be close enough to the keys to cause watches or warnings and some Ike effects could be felt there. Josephine was torn apart by shear and now has dissipated, and is no longer being tracked. Color Sat of Gulf RAMSDIS high speed visible Floater of Storms Spaghetti Style model plots from Colorado State University Forecast Discussions for (Show All Locations) Charleston, SC Wilmington, NC Morehead City, NC Hampton Roads Area of Virginia Washington, DC Philadelphia, PA Emergency Management: North Carolina Emergency Management South Carolina Emergency Management Ike Related: State of Florida Division of Emergency Management/floridadisaster.org Florida County Emergency Management Websites Forecast Discussions for (Show All Locations): Tampa,Miami, Key West, Melbourne Tallahassee Southeast Radar Composite (loop) {{radarlink|jax|Jacksonville Radar}} {{radarlink|mlb|Melbourne Radar}} {{radarlink|clx|Charleston, SC Radar}} {{radarlink|ltx|Wilmington, NC Radar}} {{radarlink|mhx|Morehead City, NC Radar}} {{radarlink|akq|Wakefield/ Norfolk/ VA Beach, VA Radar}} {{radarlink|dox|Dover, DE Radar}} {{radarlink|dix|Mount Holly, NJ Radar}} Google Plot of Hanna, Ike, and Josephine {{StormCarib}} Caribbean Islands Weather Reports {{StormLinks|Hanna|08|8|2008|2|Hanna}} {{StormLinks|Ike|09|9|2008|4|Ike}} {{StormLinks|Josephine|10|10|2008|1|Josephine}} |