CFHC Talkback For News Story #110:
Newest Talkback: 02:32 PM 09-20 EDT

Tropical Storm Harvey forms in Gulf
06:36 AM EDT - 20 September 1999

This should be a big rain producer for Florida, along with the threat of spawned tornadoes. Flood watches cover a large portion of the state, including Central Florida. It may get a little stronger, but I don't expect it to reach Hurricane Strength before landfall.

For more information on Harvey see the Current Storm Spotlight for Harvey.
For more information on Gert see the Current Storm Spotlight for Gert.
NRL Monterey Tracking Site (Navy) -- Very nice forecast track graphics.
Some Forecast models: (NGM, AVN, MRF, ECMWF, ETA)
DoD weather models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
GFDL Model & Plot for Gert and for Harvey
Gert Multiple Model Forecast Composite from Michael Bryson
Harvey Multiple Model Forecast Composite from Michael Bryson

Weather Channel Caribbean Sat Image
Intellicast Caribbean IR Loop
Intellicast Atlantic IR Loop

More Sat images: Storm Centered imagery.

[N.A. visible] (visible -- Daytime Only) [N.A. infrared] (infrared), and [N.A. water vapor] (water vapor)--Nasa source.


- [jc]

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Displaying Talkbacks #1 - #5 (of 5 total)
Harvey and the citrus crop (#1)
Posted by: Robin Location: Melrose
Posted On 08:52AM 20-Sep-1999 with id (RPYNRQRNQSRNQWS*)

As a citrus producer I am concerned about the possible effects of Harvey. The two main problems with respect to citrus production are fruit splitting as a result of excessive rainfall and limb breakage as a result of gusty winds striking fruit-laden branches. If the center of the storm moves into the Tampa Bay area, the main force of the wind and rain inland would be felt in Polk, Hardee, DeSoto, and Highlands Counties, all major citrus producers. This storm could have a fairly serious negative economic impact on parts of Central and South Central Florida.
Get ready (#2)
Posted by: Ronn Raszetnik, Jr. Location: Largo, Florida
Posted On 11:26AM 20-Sep-1999 with id (RPYNXVNQPNV*)

Looks like it's time to secure the house. This is one of the biggest threats in a while here in the Tampa Bay area. With the potential of Harvey attaining minimal hurricane status before landfall, I am concerned about the storm surge flooding in Tampa Bay. Currently, the winds are SE at 15 MPH here at my house with darkening skies to the southwest where a hefty rain band is about to move onshore. The winds are increasing every hour.

I'll post regularly with observations and thoughts.

God Bless You,
Ronn Raszetnik, Jr.
Flooding in the Bay (#3)
Posted by: Melanie Knapp Location: Tallahassee
Posted On 01:30PM 20-Sep-1999 with id (QYYNWSNQRXNYV*)

Just got off the phone with my mother who lives at the north end of Old Tampa Bay (Safety Harbor/Oldsmar). She's lived there since 1961, so we've had much tropical weather/ flooding experience. I gave her my obligatory "get everything up off the floor, and get out of there" speech. Of particular concern always with these storms is the timing of the high tides. The Oldmar high tide is at 11:00AM Tuesday morning. Let me repeat that, THE OLDSMAR/SAFETY HARBOR HIGH TIDE IS AT 11:00AM TUES!!! That's not good at all. I'm afraid this one is going to catch a lot of people off guard.
harvey (#4)
Posted by: alan byrd Location: orlando, fl
Posted On 02:19PM 20-Sep-1999 with id (RPVNRVNRTYNSR*)

That 2 pm advisory is scary. After all, this storm increased its windspeed 10 mph in three hours. Could we be talking about a category 2 by the time it reaches Tampa Bay? I know officials are saying nearly a hurricane by landfall, but were they counting on that jump now?
Also, what are the affects going to be on Orlando for this one. It's remained awfully quiet here about Harvey, but the way I look at it, we could easily have 60 mph winds in the Orlando area, stronger than any we have had in 20 years.
Is it just because Floyd missed us and it coming in at Tampa creating this apathetic atmosphere in East Central Florida?
What's everyone's thoughts on this. The usual suspects been really quiet on this one. I miss hearing what everyone thinks.
Harvey (#5)
Posted by: scottsvb
Posted On 02:32PM 20-Sep-1999 with id (VSNRSNQXTNRSW*)

Hello all,,,,,I know you all been waiting for my update and thank you all again for emailing me about my correct perdictions of these tropical systems,,,like the rest,,Harvey is everything that I said over the last week.

Well the pattern of this Tropical Storm is progressing slowly,but steadily. The system is currently up to 60mph,,and should be near 70mph as of 11pm tonight,possibily a Hurricane. The center is moving almost under the centraldense overcast(storms),, and I see it strengthening tonight to a hurricane,,,,,winds could be as high
as 80mph when landfall occurs tomorrow morning.

Harvey still has enough dry air over his western side.....if this was not the case,,he would be a hurricane already.. The presure is falling(strengthening) and Heavy rains are beginning to rap around the northern portion,. Now the track should take Harvey near Pasco county around 10am-noon on Tuesday,with winds near 75-80pmh,,moving fairly quicker across florida to Daytona by evening,,winds then should be around 60mph,,,then more northeast and should stay far enough out to sea to not affect the Carolinas,,,,they should have rain,but due to the front coming down.

People note::: Harvey should not be taken lightly in west central florida,,,He is like a 100mph hurricane hitting the east coast of florida and being around 75mph-80mph when getting here. So people here need to prepare for a hurricane like hitting the east coast of florida with winds of 100mph. I will make 1 more statement late tonight around 10:30pm .... scottsvb
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