CFHC Talkback For News Story #119:
Newest Talkback: 11:09 AM 10-15 EDT

Irene moving slowly
10:32 PM EDT - 14 October 1999

Irene seems to be slowing up in it's forward movment and not expected to strengthen overnight. Tracking a storm such as this with little movement is going to be a tough one. Even the experts are having a hard time with this one. Only time will tell.

Hurricane watches and warnings are up in all of south Florida.

And yes sorry for the lack of updates today we where out, but not out to dinner. SCOTTSVB or any frequent poster on this site, if your interested in posting new news articals for CFHC please email me, and I will tell you how. [John]



For more information on Irene, NRL Monterey Tracking Site (Navy) -- Very nice forecast track graphics.
Some Forecast models: (NGM, AVN, MRF, ECMWF, ETA)
DoD weather models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
GFDL Model & Plot for Irene and for BAMB,BAMM, LBAR & A90E Models Irene
Irene Multiple Model Forecast Composite from Michael Bryson

Weather Channel Caribbean Sat Image
Intellicast Caribbean IR Loop
Intellicast Atlantic IR Loop

More Sat images: Storm Centered imagery.

[N.A. visible] (visible -- Daytime Only) [N.A. infrared] (infrared), and [N.A. water vapor] (water vapor)--Nasa source.


- [jc]

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Displaying Talkbacks #1 - #4 (of 4 total)
No surprise with 11:00pm (#1)
Posted by: JimM Location: Kissimmee
Posted On 10:48PM 14-Oct-1999 with id (RPWNSVNRVNTY*)

Looks like they are shifting the forecast west. I'd be willing to say that the forecast is a best guess and not one with high certainty. It might be another day before the forecast settles in. Although, I do agree with the NHC that the LBAR is the most reasonable model at this time. However, I wouldn't be surprised to wake up to something completely different in the morning[and I'm not talking a dead parrot sketch! ;)] Only thing that seems certain is that there will be a lot of rain in South Florida for the next few days.
Irene (#2)
Posted by: scottsvb
Posted On 11:13PM 14-Oct-1999 with id (VSNRSNQXYNQWU*)


Collene don't get too excited like the last
storms........we are not in a worriedsome mode
yet.....

Everyone,,,,,,,,,lets see the new models that
come out about 1am,,,,,,so far ,,,(like usual
this year) is the Nogaps. It forcasted this
system after the MRF,,,,,and like the others in
the past have been right on,,,,leaving her along
the Cuban northern coast. The avn has it out in
the central gulf almost and also the mrf. The Uk
model with the forcast track up the west coast in
florida. scottsvb
Irene (#3)
Posted by: scottsvb
Posted On 01:31AM 15-Oct-1999 with id (VSNQSNSWNTX*)



It's later about 130am now,,looks more Ne heading
with the radar,,,,,,at least most of the rain
continues to the east,,,,,this makes tampa-ftmyers
as a scatterd showers and winds near 25mph at
the extreme.......but I'm just saying that's what
will happen if the storm stays south and goes up
through Key West into Dade and SE Florida.

We will see by this morning..... scottsvb
Weather Irene (#4)
Posted by: Mark Location: Ft Myers Florida
Posted On 07:09AM 15-Oct-1999 with id (QRNWWNQUQNQQ*)

At 7am I have winds east-northeast at 14mph with gusts to 23mph.. Light rain showers. Updates thru out the day.. Latest forcast track puts Irene over Ft Myers at 2am tommorow mourning.
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