CFHC Talkback For News Story #133:
Newest Talkback: 01:28 PM 10-05 EDT

SubTD#1 Becomes Tropical Storm Leslie
11:07 AM EDT - 05 October 2000

Leslie has formed, and is moving away from the US. Not much else to say here. It is highly unlikely that it could affect land.

Keith is almost on land again, moving into Mexico.

Comments or Questions? Everyone is invited to use it. Use the comment button by the story Headline.

NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division Forecast Track of Active Systems (Good Forecast Track Graphic and Satellite Photos)
Map with nearly all model projected tracks plotted for Keith. From Michael Bryson.
Crown Weather Services Tropical Update (Includes Map with multiple forecast model tracks)
Snonut's Hurricane Reports
Other commentary at: Mike Anderson's East Coast Tropical Weather Center - Stormwarn2000 - SCOTTSVB's Hurricane Update Center - Jim Williams' Hurricane City - Gary Gray's Millennium Weather - Even More on our Links Page
Satellite images at: [Visible] (visible -- Daytime Only) [Infrared] (infrared), and [Water Vapor] (water vapor)
Loops: Visible Loop - Infrared Loop - Water Vapor Loop
NASA GHCC Interactive Satellite images at:
[NAtl visible] (visible -- Daytime Only) [NAtl infrared] (infrared), and [NAtl water vapor] (water vapor)--Nasa source.
Defiant Visible Infrared More...
Ocean Surface Winds Derived from the SeaWinds Scatterometer (Experimental) Español -- Gran información sobre huracanes aquí.
Live Webcam image from Florida Emergency Management's Emergency Operations Center
Florida Emergency Management Activation Page / Situation Updates

Some Forecast models: (NGM, AVN, MRF, ECMWF, ETA)
DoD weather models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)

- [mac]

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Displaying Talkbacks #1 - #4 (of 4 total)

Keith (#1)
Posted by: mike Location: Clearwater
Posted On 11:54AM 05-Oct-2000 with id (RPXNUQNQQVNRPV*)

What are the chance the front coming down will keep this out to sea? Will the front also weaken the storm

Keith & Others (#2)
Posted by: Steve H.
Posted On 12:30PM 05-Oct-2000 with id (QSRNRRXNWPNQX*)

Chances of the front keeping keith offshore are pretty much nil at this point mike. Keith is about 2 hours from landfall, and really is moving WNW again. Frontal passage won't be til much later. Keith did get elongated earlier giving the appearance of a northerly turn this morning, but it looks like the Mexican coast for him again. I am pretty much writing off Leslie for now since she may only scrape Bermuda as a TS. There are two other interesting features out in the east Atlantic right now though. One is the LL circulation at 15N/28W, which experienced shear earlier but is trying to wrap convection in and moving due west. The other at about 11N/24W which may become a TS during the weekend. I know these are way out there for this time of year, but they'll be fun to watch, and the latter is way south, at about Joyce's position last week. Climatology says no way for these systems, but after the big cold front comes thru this weekend and cools us off next week, lets see how strong the high pressure will be over the next week or so and if this has any effect on the direction of these east atlantic systems down the road. Indian summer may set in by late next week, and a return to warmth and humidity is likely. October may still be an active month for the tropics, and historically can be. Cheers!!

keith's track is terminal (#3)
Posted by: HankFrank Location: Tallahassee
Posted On 12:31PM 05-Oct-2000 with id (QRXNQXVNQRSNSW*)

chances that keith will curve along the coast? slim to none, man. keith is pretty much inland right now. its coming ashore just north of tampico.. which is reporting nnw winds around 40 kt at the moment. the eye should be ashore within a couple of hours, definitely by the 5pm advisory. subtd 1 did turn in to leslie after all.. moving out to sea. they may post watches for bermuda later on today or tomorrow. i wonder if theyll credit the flooding in south florida to leslie.. since it wasnt yet a classified system when it did its damage..?

Keith (#4)
Posted by: JJ
Posted On 01:28PM 05-Oct-2000 with id (QRYNQQUNUUNQRP*)

As of ~1720Z, Keith is now making landfall. Its eye is well-depicted on Tampico radar...go to "Radar Imagery" at, at "Mexican Radars". Be warned, though, the link is very slow.

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