Chances are Dropping
08:49 AM EDT - 24 May 1999
Windshear, and quite a bit of it has pretty much kept the disturbance from becoming anything tropical as it remains over the western Caribbean.
That's not to say it has no chance at all, but the chances are going lower the longer it remains getting sheared. Keep watching it, but don't expect much.
Some Forecast models: (NGM, AVN, MRF, ECMWF, ETA)
Sat images: [N.A. visible] (visible) [N.A. infrared] (infrared), and [N.A. water vapor] (water vapor)--Nasa source.DoD weather models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)