CFHC Talkback For News Story #16:
Newest Talkback: 10:15 PM 04-27 EDT

"It Won't Hit Here"
05:11 PM EDT - 23 April 2001

"A big storm won't hit us here. The cape is protected by the super powers of the Gulf Stream. Nasa chose Cape Canaveral because of it."

Some of the various things I've heard that are all false. The weather patterns and ridges along with highs in the Atlantic all trend storms in certain directions, which luckily makes strong landfalls a rare event, but it still can happen.

Last year it was quiet for US Hurricane landfalls, but an active year in general as for storm count. Every year must be taken on its own, and general trend predictions cannot predict landfall. Storms approaching Florida can rapidly intensify, and no chances should be taken based on the last few years. (Floyd for example) Protect yourself and your family the best you can. The best thing you can do to do this is to stay informed and use your best judgement. Avoid the hype, and create a plan--before the storm approaches.

It can hit here.

- [mac]

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Re: It won't hit here (#1)
Posted by: PW Location: Atlanta, GA
Posted On 10:15PM 27-Apr-2001 with id (RPYNRTPNRRQNUR*)

Thinking your coastal location is somehow immune to the wrath of a major hurricane is a very dangerous assumption. Look at the situation along the Georgia coast: Not one major hurricane between 1900 and 2000, so it can't happen, right?
WRONG! Between 1880 and 1899 the Georgia coast was ravaged by three severe hurricanes. In 1881 an estimated Cat 3 killed 700 in Savannah---On August 27, 1893 a monster hurricane, now believed to be a 140 mph Cat 4 devastated the Georgia and South Carolina killing 2000+ people. The storm surge completely submerged both Savannah Beach and Hilton Head Island (over 17'). The final major hurricane struck the Georgia coast in 1898. Now believed to have been a strong Cat 3 (945 mb per a JAX NWS 2000 research paper), that produced a 13-18" storm surge and killed 120+. In downtown Brunswick the water level was 4-6' deep.
It hasn't happened since. After Hugo & Floyd's near miss, many people now believe they are immune--that a giant hurricane can't strike Georgia again. I hear many of them vow to never evacuate again. That is a prescription for a hurricane disaster.
The complacency is seen in many areas along the US coast that have avoided a major hurricane direct hit in the past thirty years or more---Tampa Bay, Broward & Palm Beach counties, the Florida Keys, the New Jersey coast, and Cape Cod just to name a few.
It won't hit here....It can't hit here---But someday, IT WILL!

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