Tropical Depression #4 Forms off our Coast
11:08 AM EDT - 09 August 2000
Tropical Systems are known to be sometimes surprising...
This is a quick update to let you know that Tropical Depression 4 has indeed formed. Info now suggests that it may not landfall, however the weak steering winds and very slow movement make any such discussion dangerous. One model has it basically stalling just off the coast, and forming into Hurricane status, but staying OFFSHORE. However, it is much too early to be jumping to conclusions, as it is now just a weak surface low/depression. Until convection fires, this is pure speculation. The fact that it is currently drifting adds questions, and I'm doubting it getting much stronger than it currently is. But, it's worth noting.
Ugh, this one is going to be hard to watch being so close. NHC suggests that it may eventually move NE away from land before ever making landfall. Will it get close enough for us to see some effects? Probably, but nothing major. This is open for debate here.
We will post more as things come in.
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Nice Satellite Image of Atlantic (IR Colorized)Satellite images at: [N.A. visible] (visible -- Daytime Only) [N.A. infrared] (infrared), and [N.A. water vapor] (water vapor)--Nasa source.
Some Forecast models: (NGM, AVN, MRF, ECMWF, ETA)- [mac]