Watching a Single System
08:48 AM EDT - 27 July 1999
The area talked about yesterday (2) continues to move across the Atlantic into an area that is neither favorable nor unfavorable for development (probably slightly more on the unfavorable side) and won't develop if at all for a few more days. It's worth watching for sure.
The other two systems yesterday, well #1 hasn't done anything impressive so the chances are even lower. And #3 and #2 more or less merged into one wave. The chances would have been better if they remained separated.
There is another wave coming off the African coast, but it's too early to say if it will hold together.
Bottom line, system #2 from yesterday is the only thing that has a chance right now. If it does develop, it won't be for a few more days. It has quite a bit of hostile area to get through. So the chances on this one have dropped below 5 on the scale.