CFHC Talkback For News Story #47:
Newest Talkback: 06:30 AM 07-01 EDT

Droughtbusters!
09:47 AM EDT - 26 June 2001

There is a tropical wave approaching south Florida now that will give us more much needed rain, and hopefully less lightning. It will start in south Florida and move northward, hopefully giving us a good soaking. We are still at drought levels despite all the afternoon storms. The storms have been lightning intense also.

My development potential scale for the wave approaching florida: 

(forget it) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 (sure thing)
           [-*--------------------]


The wave in the Caribbean is still there, but I doubt it will survive much longer.

My development potential scale for the wave in the Caribbean now: 

(forget it) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 (sure thing)
           [--*-------------------]


Let's all wave to our friends the droughbusters.



NASA GHCC Interactive Satellite images at:
[NAtl visible] (visible -- Daytime Only) [NAtl infrared] (infrared), and [NAtl water vapor] (water vapor)--Nasa source.
Defiant Visible Infrared More...
Some Forecast models: (NGM, AVN, MRF, ECMWF, ETA)
DoD weather models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
AVN, ECMWF, GFDL, NOGAPS, UKMET

- [mac]

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Displaying Talkbacks #11 - #15 (of 26 total)
only trades, no barrys (#11)
Posted by: HankFrank Location: Aiken, SC
Posted On 01:46AM 28-Jun-2001 with id (RPTNQQVNQVNQPU*)

for all of the convection around florida and in the sw gulf, every reporting station i checked was showing a breeze from the east. just the trades, no incipient lows, no really persistent convection. shear keeps killing everything, the usual in june. with one june storm already, the chances of another are about 1 in 20.. that said, i'll probably still find myself eyeing the next convective ball that hangs around for 36 hours.. every now and then one of these teasers will become for real.
shouldnt have to wait more than a month for that to happen, i s'pose.. then come all the jokes and analogies to barry bonds.
Well, Here's a Blob (#12)
Posted by: Colleen Location: Lakeland, FL
Posted On 08:35AM 28-Jun-2001 with id (QURNQVSNQYTNQYQ*)

..to watch. In the W GOMEX. It looks pretty intense this morning, the cloud tops look pretty cold for this early in the morning. Of course, I have to say that I honestly don't know about the shear out there or any troughs that would push it inland over Mexico or anywhere else. I'm just telling you what I see. And, it could be just a "blob" for all I know.

Colleen
Gulf Convection/ shear (#13)
Posted by: Joe Location: St.Petersburg, FL
Posted On 11:57AM 28-Jun-2001 with id (VTNRTTNQNUP*)

The convection in Gulf is being sheared some with shear running west to east at around 10 to 20 kt. I thought the convection in the gulf would have been gone by now but it flared up again this morning. I don't think its much to worry about. But when ever you see convection in the Gulf this time of the year it has to be watched. Just took a look at the North American analysis and it appears the convection in the Gulf is with a Tropical Wave in the southwestern Gulf.
gulf convection (#14)
Posted by: doug Location: tampa
Posted On 12:48PM 28-Jun-2001 with id (VUNSTNVVNQVP*)

latest vivible loop seems to show a convergence of convection in the 25n-81w vicinity..but all pressures remain relatively high by all indications...radar confirms a lot of activity in Florida Bay nnw of keywest, and much of the moisture in SW florida being pulled into that region, hence less than expected rainfall over SW Florida today considering the proxmity of the wave... probably means nothing though. EDS>
This is Interesting..... (#15)
Posted by: Colleen Location: Lakeland, FL
Posted On 01:03PM 28-Jun-2001 with id (VTNQRNQPVNSX*)

(well to me, anyway)...I just got back from Publix where I saw a guy pull up at the same time I did with a satellite dish? on the back of his truck, all kinds of antennae, a yellow light that would flash, and a big search light. Well..I figured out on my own that he must be some sort of storm chaser or work for the NWS (aren't I bright?) and sure enough, there was a sticker on the back of his truck that said, "SKYWARN" ...so I stopped him and asked him a couple of questions. He was very nice. Then I said, "What do you think it will be like later this afternoon?" He said, "Well...it's heating up out here, there's lots of moisture in the air, and convection to our East. I'd say there's a good chance of rain." We both busted out laughing, but then he said, "Seriously...this could lead to more of the same type of storms we had Tuesday night." Ha. You learn something everyday at Publix. :-)
Colleen
colleen (#16)
Posted by: gary Location: jacksonville
Posted On 08:55PM 28-Jun-2001 with id (RPUNQXXNQYRNQXV*)

you are too funny, great story!!!!
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