CFHC Talkback For News Story #50:
Newest Talkback: 09:28 PM 08-13 EDT

Hurricane Season is not Over
08:24 AM EDT - 11 August 1999

I have received yet more email from people suggesting that the season won't be all it's cracked up to be. However, I remind them that last year the second storm was not until August 19th. And after that, it was non-stop for a while. Either we need to reevaluate forecasting methods or we are just a little impatient waiting for the breakout period. I still tend to think the latter, and still generally agree with what Dr. Gray has said.

Do not let your guard down. Currently the tropics are still oddly quiet. Some sinking air in the Central Atlantic may be responsible, but generally there isn't a very hostile (For tropical development) environment anywhere in the basin. On the flip side, there is currently not anywhere particularly favorable either.

The wait continues...

- [jc]

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Displaying Talkbacks #1 - #5 (of 5 total)

hurricane season (#1)
Posted by:
steve hirschberger
Posted On 01:06PM 11-Aug-1999 with id (QSRNRRXNWPNQX*)

I agree. Hurricane season is not over..seems to to lots of subsidence a with sinking air in the atlantic....also strange positioning of high pressure ares at low latitudes. With strong ridging in place across atlantic, one gets the feeling that the table is being set for some strong cyclones. Things are going to bust open soon, probably within a week. Only thing going today are pertubations near the Lesser Antilles which may be signaling the start of a changing pattern. Dr. Gray is wise to stick to his guns.

Atlantic hurricane Season 99 (#2)
Posted by: Mike Anderson
Posted On 05:37PM 11-Aug-1999 with id (RPUNQXXNQYWNUV*)

I have posted on this site for some time now and have read the other postings, i have said that the deep tropical moisture has had a bad start this year, how could you expect any tropical development with out it, that would be like bakeing a cake without the eggs, looking at the African loop i have seen tropical waves over the central part of Africa as the waves have moved off the coast they have fallen apart due to what i believe to be the lack of tropical moisture and dry air, i also have said that this season would not be what Dr Gray has forecasted and ill stick to that , yes a busy season but i do not see 14 storms , ill be back to make the call at the end of the season, As for the start of the week im thinking that the waves im expecting to come off the African coast will show more in the way of development, i only hope as that happens we dont get this big i told ya so it will be a bad season thing, we shall see. As for my thoughts for the upcoming week look for some development close to the African coast thats it for now. Mike

Thanks (#3)
Posted by: Jack Schwartz Location: Destin, FL
Posted On 06:44PM 11-Aug-1999 with id (RPVNRRXNRSTNST*)

I just had to write a note that I appreciate this page here and posts like yours Mike. It really helps to see differing opinions in making my own up. Keep it up!
Personally I think it'll be more like an average season (possibly slightly higher).

It's Not Over Yet (#4)
Posted by:
Colleen Atwater Location: Lakeland, Florida
Posted On 08:22AM 12-Aug-1999 with id (RPUNQXXNQYYNQUY*)

I think that everyone is jumping the gun a little saying that hurricane season is not meeting up to expectations. Frankly, I think we should be thankful if it does turn out to be a slow season--why would we want an active season with destruction and devastation? However, I do believe that the season will take us all by surprise in the near future and start cranking out some storms. The peak of the season is just a month away, so hold on to your hats.

Atlantic showing signs of awakening (#5)
Posted by: Mike Anderson
Posted On 09:28PM 13-Aug-1999 with id (QURNQVSNRPWNVV*)

This will be my secound posting on this page,if you looked at my first post i spoke of tropical waves that would exit the African coast, this is the case tonight, but of more intrest is that the SW flow over Africa has begun to return this will allow the waves moveing across Africa to build deeper convection , i have been looking at a wave now over the central part of Africa , it will be very interesting to see what this wave does in the next few days, but looking at it now the waves has a clear circulation associated with it im not going to go out on the limb but i will say that i think we just might see a Tropical Depression form out of this one, if that is the case it than should go on to be a Hurricane, thats it for now, as im running late tonight and just wanted to let you all know what might be the start of something big for the coming week,

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