Models and Yucatan
11:26 AM EDT - 17 August 1999
The story today focuses around a system over the Yucatan which may move into the Bay of Campeche and a system that isn't around (But numerical models forecast it to be).
The System over the Yucatan has a chance when it moves over water, enough so that the Hurricane Center is thinking of sending Recon aircraft out to it since the upper level conditions around it are good for development.
The "phantom" system in the East Atlantic may form according to many of the forecast models later in the week around the Cape Verde area. Right now there is hardly any sign of anything happening, but when this many models suggest formation, it is worth watching.
Some Forecast models: (NGM, AVN, MRF, ECMWF, ETA)
DoD weather models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
Weather Channel Caribbean Sat Image
Intellicast Caribbean IR Loop
Intellicast Atlantic IR Loop
More Sat images: [N.A. visible] (visible) [N.A. infrared] (infrared), and [N.A. water vapor] (water vapor)--Nasa source.