A Lot of "Maybe"
02:43 PM EDT - 16 July 2001
What we have this week is a lot of maybe something, nothing definite, and nothing immediate. However it's nearing the latter half of July, so we normally want to start looking around more, although we are still one month away fromt the start of the peak season.
Right now take a look...
What do we have here. Well the low in the Gulf with a system that I mentioned last week forming off the front that came down.
Let me state my thoughts on that one by using the potential for development graph:
(forget it) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 (sure thing)
[-*--------------------]
Just remember our luck with Gulf systems so far, but I'm fairly certain that one is a bust.
Still Nope. It's not gonna happen... so lets look elsewhere...
TD#2's remnants are showing some signs of life south of Hispaniola, and if it were to make it north of the islands somehow, the spark with the front remnants would cause something. However...
(forget it) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 (sure thing)
[--*-------------------]
That's not going to happen, and the Caribbean is hostile for development until it reaches the extreme western portion. I don't expect anything there either.
The last wave, in the Atlantic has a lot of amplitude, but no signs of development. Ie no core storms around what would be the center. If this were August, we'd be singing a different tune on it. But it could move into an area more favorible for development EXCEPT for the water temps.
(forget it) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 (sure thing)
[---*------------------]
Just not much going on, with a lot of maybe's. The front stalling out didn't do anything, and TD#2 remnants are doomed in several ways. We'll keep watching though, since we've been surprised before. But nothing will happen today or tomorrow in my opinion.
