10:55 PM EDT - 19 August 2000
7 AM - 20 August 2000 Update:
The NHC is still having trouble finding the center of TD#7, so it remains a TD until 11AM. The forecast track has shifted a tad to the north and now it affects the extreme northeast Caribbean islands. It really depends on where the actual center really is, so all those Islands need to watch it closely.
The errors in the track could be fairly large one way or the other because of the problems with finding the center.
Tropical Depression #7 holds its name for the moment because of uncertainties with the center. The official forecast currently projects "Debby" to cross into the Caribbean Islands and eventually threaten Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands. The morning will tell more, because the NHC is not quite certain enough to upgrade it yet. (If the thunderstorm activity is over the center now, then it is probably close to a hurricane now)
In any case, the stage is set for solid strengthening and the ridiging will most likely keep it moving WNW so folks in these islands should start to prepare over the next day or two in case it heads toward them. Hurricane Watches for some islands could come as early as 11AM tomorrow. Listen to official sources for more information there.
Beyond that it is still a maybe south of Cuba or South of the Bahamas (the latter would be more dangerous for the US). It is important to remind you that all of this is still in the speculation stage this far out.
Alberto still is hanging around. Remnants of Chris are well, there. The wave in the East Atlantic will be watched later on, and that's all thats substantial right now.
Debby has the potential to be a "classic" hurricane in the future.
One of the better Meterologists I am familiar with (for Hurricane predictions) is now issuing web updates at Snonut's Hurricane Reports. Very worth checking out during the next few days and later on.
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Satellite images at: [N.A. visible] (visible -- Daytime Only) [N.A. infrared] (infrared), and [N.A. water vapor] (water vapor)--Nasa source.Some Forecast models: (NGM, AVN, MRF, ECMWF, ETA)