Debby Falls Apart
11:19 PM EDT - 23 August 2000
Debby is still barely holding on just south of the eastern edge of Cuba. The NHC thinks that it could restrengthen later after going through some shear. So it may degrade to an untracked wave later but has a chance to reform and affect the Gulf somehow.
Expect the unexpected.
:Not much to write tonight other than the fact that Debby is looking very very poor this evening. It's very hard to see where the storm center is on the infrared satellite (In fact there is no clue whatsoever if you hadn't seen previous images). The surprise "kick" that the low level circulation received was not forecast. Therefore Debby has to now cross Cuba if it wants to Survive. If it does survive it then has the chance to regenerate. What a change from last night. This is amazing in itself, yet another oddity in the year of oddities this hurricane season.
It did affect Florida by causing Evacuations and school closings in the keys, and it may not be done yet. Very long range models suggest if it survives, that it get carried back into the gulf.
Comments or Questions? Everyone is invited to use it. Use the comment button by the story Headline.NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division Forecast Track of Debby (Good Forecast Track Graphic)
Satellite images at: [N.A. visible] (visible -- Daytime Only) [N.A. infrared] (infrared), and [N.A. water vapor] (water vapor)--Nasa source.Some Forecast models: (NGM, AVN, MRF, ECMWF, ETA)