TD#5 Forms North of Puerto Rico Moving WNW
11:03 PM EDT - 23 August 1999
Well TD#5 has formed. Southeast Coast residents (including Florida) need to watch it, as it has the potential to strengthen.
Future? Well the NHC has it up to hurricane strength in 72 hours (name would be Dennis). And moves it just east of the Bahamas toward the north.
Some models bring it close to the coast of North Carolina, but the GFDL (one of the better models) is perhaps the most interesting as it brings the track WEST of the NHC forecast. Which places it dangerously close. Some thought is that it may skim the coast of Florida Starting from around Stuart. It may miss Florida. It may miss the US Coast. It may make landfall in Florida before it turns north. It may come close enough to Florida to cause Watches and/or Warnings later.
I really don't know enough to call this one. The slow current movement complicates things and may make it miss a least one trof that has the potential to kick it out.
This is definately one for us Central Florida folk to watch out for.
Elsewhere... Cindy is still a TS Moving WNW. And TD#6 may be forming east of Cindy within a day or two.
More to come tomorrow. Comments on this are more than welcome.
For more information on Cindy see the Current Storm Spotlight for Cindy.
For more information on TD#5 see the Current Storm Spotlight for Bret.
Some Forecast models: (NGM, AVN, MRF, ECMWF, ETA)
DoD weather models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
Weather Channel Caribbean Sat Image
Intellicast Caribbean IR Loop
Intellicast Atlantic IR Loop
More Sat images: [N.A. visible] (visible -- Daytime Only) [N.A. infrared] (infrared), and [N.A. water vapor] (water vapor)--Nasa source.