CFHC Talkback For News Story #80:
Newest Talkback: 03:31 AM 08-27 EDT

Hurricane Dennis now a Real Threat to Florida
07:27 AM EDT - 27 August 1999

It is now a real possibility that parts of Florida, including Central Florida, could see a Hurricane Watch Later Today or Tomorrow. Also, Dennis looks like it could make a category 3 status. The forecast track puts it dangerously close to the Florida Coast--south Florida is not out of the woods even. The current track still takes it north, but too close for comfort for Florida. Will it be like Bertha (1995)? Don't count on it.


Keep an eye on the media, and on the advisories, because things are getting incredibly interesting. If a watch is issued for the area, I would start preparations, if a warning is issued and you are in an evacuation zone get out. I live on the coast in New Smyrna Beach, and I will leave if asked. Hint, if you are low on gasoline get some before any watches/warnings are issued or deal with lines -- especially along the coast.

Reminder again, Dennis' track is very uncertain, and the threat to Florida is real. This won't be like Erin in 1995 if it comes close. Also, don't let the hype get to you. Take the information you get from the media and other sources and judge for yourself. There still is some time to plan out, but onces watches and especially warnings get put up, then that time will start to run out. If you are not familiar with the area, you can use the phone Book to find warehouse stores. In Florida there are Home Depots, Lowe's, Builder's Square, and Scotty's as well as other smaller lumberyards. All of the larger stores will have plywood, batteries, etc. for supplies, but may start to run on short supply if watches are issued.

Mike Anderson, who has been making posts (somewhat brave or non-mainstream posts at that) now has access to post stories on this news site. If other people with some expertise in the area would like this ability, email me.

Also, during times like these, sites such as ours tend to get overloaded. And therefore I suggest getting a few links for other sites if you have not. Also if an advisory (such as strike probabilities) is not showing up correctly here, then you can look at the Storm Spotlight page to find alternate sources for the advisory text. Of course, the
National Hurricane Center/Tropical Prediction Center and The Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA). If that fails use other links.

For East Central Florida residents and guests looking for more information such as Evacuation Routes and Planning tips see the following pages: [Brevard] [Volusia] [Flagler] [Indian River] [Inland] [News Media]
These have links to the county sites which gives evacuation information and shelter locations.

Also our links page has links to other areas in Florida -- look for the Emergency Management County pages.

For more information on Cindy see the Current Storm Spotlight for Cindy.
For more information on Dennis see the Current Storm Spotlight for Dennis.
For more information on Emily see the Current Storm Spotlight for Emily.
Some Forecast models: (NGM, AVN, MRF, ECMWF, ETA)
DoD weather models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
Weather Channel Caribbean Sat Image
Intellicast Caribbean IR Loop
Intellicast Atlantic IR Loop

More Sat images: [N.A. visible] (visible -- Daytime Only) [N.A. infrared] (infrared), and [N.A. water vapor] (water vapor)--Nasa source.

- [mac]

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Displaying Talkbacks #1 - #6 (of 6 total)

website is GREAT (#1)
Posted by:
Dan Mulvaney ( Location: Sanford
Posted On 08:19AM 27-Aug-1999 with id (RPXNRTSNQTVNXQ*)

I am one of 5 people from our store who are geared up for stormchasing if Dennis comes our way. This site is the best thing going, it is on our links bar. Thanks. We will give a first-hand report, with pictures, if A- it hits, and B- we survive. Dumb? Maybe. But some peole are drawn to this like a junky to their fix.

Posted by: Mike Anderson
Posted On 08:39AM 27-Aug-1999 with id (QURNQVSNRPQNQWY*)

Goodmorning folk this is just as i have been forecasting the last 4 days now, i have been looking at all the info and im uping my forecast to a landfalling cat 3 hurricane alont the florida coast, Still looks to me as if the Center of DENNIS will be comeing in around STUART, upper level low to the northand trailing trough has all but broken down at this time, supporting the ridgr now starting to build in BERMUDA HIGH in the eastern atlantic ,some models are forecasting this system to reach cat 4and i really dont think that is over done at this time but id like to see more later today, Hurricane watch should go up later today, Feeder bands could arrive as late as tonight. ill be in and out but ill keep you updated, Mike Anderson Florida WX.

Thanks (#3)
Posted by: Joe Parra Location: Orlando/FL
Posted On 08:40AM 27-Aug-1999 with id (RPWNRSYNWSNRQ*)

Just wanted to echo the earlier comments. This is a great site and it appears to be merely a public service/hobby for you guys. This is now the first place I hit for new storm info.

Also, I was just curious if you or Mike could share some of Mike's background. He seems to have more info/knowledge than most of us on this site who are merely storm chasers. Thanks again!

Posted by: Mike Anderson
Posted On 09:09AM 27-Aug-1999 with id (QURNQVSNRPQNQWY*)

looking at the ops and the ridge is really starting to build now, this is the stearing flow i have been looking for , what this will do is turn DENNIS more to the west, so for now it's WNW it will bend more to the DUE west after it reaches 26.0N , im also sure that we are looking at a cat 2, im thinking even if the info comes in at cat 1 it will be changed soon after at this time but we will have to wait till the flight info comes in ,im thinking that if it comes in as a cat 1 that info should change soon after as im really thinking it's a cat 2 now, Folke along the florida coast PLEASE STAY TUNED TO THIS PAGE AS IM VERY BUSY AND HAVE ONLY CHOOSEN THIS PAGE TO POST ON, I DO NOT POST AT ANY OTHER WEB SITE'S, YOU CAN E MAIL ME AT FLORIDA WX PLEASE KEEP THE IM'S DOWN AS I HAVE NOT THE TIME TO CHAT LIVE WITH YOU ALL, Thank's Mike Anderson Florida WX

When and where is the turn going to occur (#5)
Posted by: Jim Location: Hollywood, Florida
Posted On 09:17AM 27-Aug-1999 with id (QSWNURNTVNXY*)

Do you believe it may make a B line for the coast now, by 12 p.m., or later this evening?

Dennis to FL? (#6)
Posted by: ~SirCane~
Posted On 10:31AM 27-Aug-1999 with id (RPUNQXXNQYXNUR*)

Right now I think landfall just North of WPB. I think this has a chance to get in the gulf. GET READY FLORIDA< DONT WAIT

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