CFHC Talkback For News Story #81:
Newest Talkback: 10:21 AM 08-27 EDT

Hurricane Watches up From Sebastian Inlet North to Fernandia Beach
10:43 AM EDT - 27 August 1999

Update 4PM:Some areas of Florida may be getting Hurricane or Tropical Storm Warnings posted at 5PM. More to come...

As was mentioned earlier, watches are now up for parts of East Central Florida... Which means we could see hurricane conditions within 48 hours...

The official NHC track still takes it to the north, but coming within 100 miles of Cape Canaveral offshore. Very close by. Keep Watch..


Dennis Still moving WNW. An eye appears to be forming on visible satellite pictures, indicating possible strengthening. Movement from that "eye" that has appeared confirms WNW movement. We'll continue watching and preparing here...

Also, during times like these, sites such as ours tend to get overloaded. And therefore I suggest getting a few links for other sites if you have not. Also if an advisory (such as strike probabilities) is not showing up correctly here, then you can look at the Storm Spotlight page to find alternate sources for the advisory text. Of course, the
National Hurricane Center/Tropical Prediction Center and The Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA). If that fails use other links.

For East Central Florida residents and guests looking for more information such as Evacuation Routes and Planning tips see the following pages: [Brevard] [Volusia] [Flagler] [Indian River] [Inland] [News Media]
These have links to the county sites which gives evacuation information and shelter locations.

Also our links page has links to other areas in Florida -- look for the Emergency Management County pages.

For more information on Cindy see the Current Storm Spotlight for Cindy.
For more information on Dennis see the Current Storm Spotlight for Dennis.
For more information on Emily see the Current Storm Spotlight for Emily.
Some Forecast models: (NGM, AVN, MRF, ECMWF, ETA)
DoD weather models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
Weather Channel Caribbean Sat Image
Intellicast Caribbean IR Loop
Intellicast Atlantic IR Loop

More Sat images: [N.A. visible] (visible -- Daytime Only) [N.A. infrared] (infrared), and [N.A. water vapor] (water vapor)--Nasa source.

- [jc]

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Displaying Talkbacks #1 - #8 (of 8 total)

I agree, Dennis is coming to Florida (#1)
Posted by: Gator Location: Palm Bay, Fl
Posted On 11:27AM 27-Aug-1999 with id (QSRNQUXNQVQNQXY*)

I've been keeping track of this storm myself for the last few days and have been told that my feeling that it's headed to east central Florida is outta whack with what the models show. I was glad to see that there were others out there that feel as I do.

I just checked the strike probabilities chart and it's kinda bizzare. It shows the projected path headed northward but the shaded strike zones on the same map don't follow the projected path, they head straight into the east coast.......Hmmmmmm..........

Is Cindy going to "push" Dennis West? (#2)
Posted by: Jack Schwartz Location: Daytona Beach, FL
Posted On 11:28AM 27-Aug-1999 with id (RPVNRRXNRSTNST*)

Something I haven't seen anyone mention is the fact that Cindy seems to be moving more westward. Since Cindy is Stronger than Dennis, would this be enough to push it west? Or is it a non-factor

Get Ready Florida (#3)
Posted by: ~SirCane~
Posted On 11:31AM 27-Aug-1999 with id (RPUNQXXNQYXNSR*)

I think we will mave a landfalling Hurricane moving WNW across Florida between WPB and Stuart.


Strike probabilities (#4)
Posted by:
Jeff Lockwood Location: Tallahassee, FL
Posted On 11:42AM 27-Aug-1999 with id (QYYNWSNQWWNTX*)

Gator, those strike probabilities reflect the chances of landfall WITHIN 72 HOURS (passage of center within 65 nm being considered landfall). If they were for EVENTUAL landfall, then they would indeed follow the expected path.

Cindy (#5)
Posted by: Joe Parra Location: Orlando/FL
Posted On 11:49AM 27-Aug-1999 with id (RPWNRSYNWSNRQ*)

Cindy is no factor. She is too far away to have any effect on Dennis and will turn completely north in a day or two.

Posted by: Mike Anderson
Posted On 12:51PM 27-Aug-1999 with id (RPUNQXXNQYVNST*)

Goodafternoon i and very busy but as i said ill get to this site as often as i can for you all. Lets get to it right now, the turn i told you about has begun, this is the west heading that i have been telling you about for some time now, What do i expect, im expecting a landfall very close to MARTIN COUN THE STUART AREA and the warnings should sound for this around 5:00, this is going to be a major hurricane and the fact that it may slow down when it reaches the MARTIN COUNTY AREA could really bring heavy rain and hurricane conditions for a prolong time, im expecting outer rain bands to start to move in along the florida coast as early as morning, i want to WARN , please dont focus only on the storms center, as the hurricane has a farther reach, this system will have a farther reach than ANDREW dis thus impactine more area, thats it for now but ill be in an open chat room later tonight im starting for people who would like to talk with me on this system, Mike Anderson Florida WX.

Watch (#7)
Posted by: Steve Hirschberger Location: Palm Bay
Posted On 01:15PM 27-Aug-1999 with id (QSRNRRXNWPNQX*)

Seems Dennis is experiencing shear again. We'll have to see if this trend continues or quickly abates. This will be a factor in it's overall strength. I can't agree will a landfall so far south as Stuart on the Florida coast. It's not out of the question, but if it's going to make landfall it will probably be closer to the Cape or even further into Daytona Beach crossing the ares from SE to NW. Still this could remain offshore, I want to see what this shear is all about, perhaps being caused by anticyclone over Cuba. Anyhow, that's my take on it. In the meantime we'll get prepared.

Nervous (#8)
Posted by: Steve Hirschberger Location: Palm Bay FL
Posted On 05:21PM 27-Aug-1999 with id (RPUNQXXNQYSNQXW*)

I'm getting a bit nervous about this system. Latest satellite loops show a ragged eye that has been moving almost due west during the past couple of hours, and if this continues for the next 12 hours or so it would take a sharp northerly turn to keep it from impacting the Florida coast significantly. Forecasters are still calling for the storm to stay off the Brevard/Volusia coast by 80-100 miles.. Bob sheets says this also, I'm beginning to lean towards landfall below 28N if the current movement maintains for the next 12 hours. Interesting note; talked to the in-laws in West Palm about an hour ago and mentioned the storm to which they replied "what storm". Residents are asleep on this one or giving total confidence in the predicted path. If they wait to issue a hurricane warning til late tonight people will sleep on it and try to get their act together in the morning , which will be way late. I think a Hurricane warning needs to be issued soon if the westward trend continues.

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