CFHC Talkback For News Story #81:
Newest Talkback: 08:57 PM 09-05 EDT

Ernesto and Shear
09:50 AM EDT - 03 September 2000

What originally made me go with the prediction of no named storms this weekend was the fact that shear was still pretty bad in the area that Ernesto was trying to form. It managed to anyway, but since then has been barely holding on. It's a definite fish spinner system as it heads toward that direction.

More interesting to me is the system in the Central East Atlantic that could form sometime this week. We'll wait and see.

Comments or Questions? Everyone is invited to use it. Use the comment button by the story Headline.

NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division Forecast Track of Active Systems (Good Forecast Track Graphic and Satellite Photos)


Crown Weather Services Tropical Update (Includes Map with multiple forecast model tracks)
Snonut's Hurricane Reports

Satellite images at: [N.A. visible] (visible -- Daytime Only) [N.A. infrared] (infrared), and [N.A. water vapor] (water vapor)--Nasa source.

Some Forecast models: (NGM, AVN, MRF, ECMWF, ETA)
DoD weather models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
AVN, ECMWF, GFDL, NOGAPS, UKMET

- [mac]


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Displaying Talkbacks #16 - #20 (of 26 total)

Location (#16)
Posted by: randy
Posted On 08:14AM 05-Sep-2000 with id (QRNSXNRSRNXS*)


That area off the SE of the Carolinas is about 28/73

Location (#17)
Posted by: randy
Posted On 08:15AM 05-Sep-2000 with id (QRNSXNRSRNXS*)


That's about 28/73

Re: Central Atlantic Wave (#18)
Posted by:
Colleen Location: Lakeland, Florida
Posted On 08:30AM 05-Sep-2000 with id (RPUNQXXNQYRNQVS*)


I think the reason it was not classified was that the bulk of people at NHC were off yesterday, look for it at 11:00AM or I will eat crow. Guess what? I have eaten quite a bit of it lately, it's really not all that bad!!!!! LOL!!! Colleen

Florence? (#19)
Posted by: Mark Ruck Location: Ft Myers Florida
Posted On 08:30AM 05-Sep-2000 with id (QRNWWNQSRNWV*)


Hello All,
Satellite pictures show a strong tropical wave this mourning 950 miles west of the Carribean Islands but what it does not show is a low level circulation. There is a broad area of low pressure at 14n..46 west at around 1010mb but most of the convection is west of the center. I do forsee this system to develope into a Depression by late today or early tommorow. Its path shopuld be north of the islands moving nw over time. Right now I don't see this system being a U.S. threat at all...

Frank/1990 season no landfall (#20)
Posted by: Bill Location: TLH
Posted On 09:59AM 05-Sep-2000 with id (RPTNQQPNRQTNYT*)


Hi Frank-

TS Marco landfalled on the west coast of Fl/Panhandle as a weak ts that yr.

Last time with no landfall...hmmm

....91?

don't rememerb actually!

IHS,

Bill

agree with Scott on incipient td, they may upgrade at 11...but convection is east of the center, there is a good circ however. They are making that call right now, I'd say 50/50 upgrade at 11.

Time will tell!

IHS,

Bill



Would You Like a Little Salt with Those Feathers? (#21)
Posted by:
Mary Location: Lakeland
Posted On 12:31PM 05-Sep-2000 with id (QRNWWNQVRNQUX*)


If you were referring to 11:00 am. The storm upgrade did not come. That little stinker is playing games again. Well, that is the norm for this season I guess. LOL


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