CFHC Talkback For News Story #93:
Newest Talkback: 08:02 PM 09-07 EDT

TD#7 to Move into Mexico and Other Systems
09:02 AM EDT - 06 September 1999

Quick note, what's left of Dennis is still dumping rain over North Carolina. I once lived in Raleigh, so I can imagine how that amount of rain can flood certain areas.

TD#7 is NOT acting like Bret, and is much closer to the Mexican coast that Bret was. It most likely will go fully inland (it's almost at that point now) later today over Mexico without strengthening all that much.

In the rest of the Atlantic, there is a wave in the Central Atlantic that still bears watching, and a smaller wave near to the Lesser Antilles that also has flared up this morning.

We will be watching. For more information on TD#7 see the Current Storm Spotlight for TD#7.
Some Forecast models: (NGM, AVN, MRF, ECMWF, ETA)
DoD weather models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
Weather Channel Caribbean Sat Image
Intellicast Caribbean IR Loop
Intellicast Atlantic IR Loop

More Sat images: [N.A. visible] (visible -- Daytime Only) [N.A. infrared] (infrared), and [N.A. water vapor] (water vapor)--Nasa source.


- [mac]

Show All Comments | Show Next 3 Comments | Show Previous 15 Comments
Displaying Talkbacks #19 - #27 (of 30 total)
Who is Mike Anderson? (#19)
Posted by: Terry Location: Orlando
Posted On 08:20PM 06-Sep-1999 with id (RPXNQTNTQNT*)

You can find Mike Anderson on AOL under the screen name and email florida wx /floridawx@aol.com.
Central Atlantic Wave (#20)
Posted by: Steve Hirschberger Location: Palm Bay FL
Posted On 09:38PM 06-Sep-1999 with id (QURNQVSNRPWNTX*)

Since I'm new at posting comments on this site, I figure I'll stay clear of the flying rocks. Since they have settled, It seems that the tropical wave in the Central Atlantic in gaining steam, and is looking like it should be a storm by tomorrow if it doesn't encounter any shear. The area of convection seems to have centralized and it looks like rotation and outflow are beginning to form. This system seems to have the potential for a major atlantic storm, most of the ingredients are there. Keep your eyes to the southeast.
Any help (#21)
Posted by: Billy boy blue
Posted On 11:54PM 06-Sep-1999 with id (RPUNQXXNQYVNRX*)

I was woundering if we might ge any hurricanes soon, i really dont understand the whole thing but was just woundering, would appreciate any help.
Hurricanes (#22)
Posted by: mary Location: Lakeland
Posted On 06:26AM 07-Sep-1999 with id (QRNWWNQVRNVS*)

The potential is always there. I even think the superstorm of 93 that hit Central Florida was a hurricane that slipped in on us really fast.
Superstorm of '93 (#23)
Posted by: Ronn Raszetnik, Jr. Location: Largo, Florida
Posted On 08:34AM 07-Sep-1999 with id (RPWNVYNTTNQYY*)

Actually, the Superstorm of '93 was a violent squall line in association with a major upper level disturbance. I remember it very well as I was camping outdoors near Ft. Meade for a church function at the time. We had to evacuate to a gymnasium. I estimated the winds to be 50-60 MPH sustained with some slightly higher gusts where I was located. Most damage in the area was minor with some down trees and power lines and typical moderate tropical storm damage. I remember the next day was very cold with temperatures in the 30's. The winds were very gusty as well and we barely made it across the Gandy bridge to get back to Pinellas County before it closed. Tampa had the worst damage with considerable roof damage and water levels intruding on people's homes.

Enough about the Superstorm of '93. The tropical wave in the Central Atlantic Ocean looks very impressive and it appears well on its way to becoming Floyd. It may impact the Leeward Islands due to an expected westward heading for several days to come. This could be the next major hurricane.

God Bless You,
Ronn Raszetnik, Jr.
TD #8 SOON (#24)
Posted by: SirCane
Posted On 12:50PM 07-Sep-1999 with id (QURNQVSNQYWNQXW*)

This wave has a rotation and good convection, I would be surprised if we dont see TD #8 by tonight.

SirCane
Floyd (#25)
Posted by: Ronn Raszetnik, Jr. Location: Largo, Florida
Posted On 01:20PM 07-Sep-1999 with id (RPWNVYNTPNYR*)

Indeed. The tropical wave 1,000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles looks impressive on satellite imagery this afternoon. I surmise that this wave will become Tropical Depression Eight by 5 PM EST this afternoon. Convection is organizing near the circulation center and I see nothing that will impede development in the near term. Furthermore, this system should be christened Floyd rather shortly as well.

Regarding future movement: I think that "Floyd" will have a shot at impacting some location along the U.S. east coast progressing into next week. We will again be challenged with forecasting whether the cyclone will turn northward or approach the coast. The future movement is simply dependent on the strength and position of the trough moving off the U.S. east coast and the position in latitude of the storm. At present, I say that the chances favor a more northerly track over time; however, this is purely conjecture so early in the forecast period.

God Bless You,
Ronn Raszetnik, Jr.
TD #8 Has Formed! (#26)
Posted by: SirCane
Posted On 05:29PM 07-Sep-1999 with id (QURNQVSNRPVNQWV*)

I knew it. IT is supposed to become a 85kt Hurricane in 72 hours and continue W and WNW
Soon to be Floyd (#27)
Posted by: Steve Hirschberger Location: Palm Bay FL
Posted On 05:36PM 07-Sep-1999 with id (QURNQVSNRPQNVY*)

TD #8 has formed and we need to watch this one . The TPC has this system with a West motion with a slight north component, putting it near the NE Leeward islands in 72 hours as a 75-knot rapidly intensifying hurricane. Anticyclonic is forecast to stay north of the system, keeping it on a westward track and providing a good environment for intensification. Will be interesting to see how this plays out as it moves to the north of Puerto Rico. A trough is forecast to dig in the east on Sunday, but may move off quickly, leading to a further westward push under the high pressure that will build in over the Atlantic. Any ideas out there? I haven't seen any model guidance or forecasts long range yet.
CHANCES OF FLRIDA STRIKE (#28)
Posted by: MR ? (http://dont have one) Location: Somwhere in florida ?
Posted On 06:49PM 07-Sep-1999 with id (QYYNRRWNRPNQTR*)

Hi I was Woendering what the chances of southern
florida having a direct impact, from soon to become floyd here he is suposed to have 85 mph winds in 72 hours with rapid intesification.

i f anyone would like to feel free to guess any of "?" above feel free to and who ever guesses right ill put it where it is suposed to go.

so start thinking
Show All Comments | Show Next 3 Comments | Show Previous 15 Comments

Return to Central Florida Hurricane Center Main Page