CFHC Talkback For News Story #98:
Newest Talkback: 01:25 PM 09-11 EDT

Floyd and More!
12:55 PM EDT - 10 September 1999

It's getting busy again. Hurricane Floyd appears to be slowly winding up, and east of Floyd there are two interesting areas that may develop in the next few days.

Models are trending more to the west again. One interesting item is that the MRF gives it a track similar to Hurricane David (1979) in the long range. But that would be for "entertainment purposes only" as the MRF (some call it the Most random forecast) can be way off on tropical systems sometimes. The GFDL still has it turning more back to the west as it approached the Bahamas, and the NOGAPS still has it going out to sea. Ie, roll the dice or throw a dart.

We'll be watching it. Good news is that it does look it will miss the Caribbean islands.

Personal Reports from the Caribbean -- Caribbean Hurricane Page

For more information on Hurricane Floyd see the Current Storm Spotlight for Hurricane Floyd.
Some Forecast models: (NGM, AVN, MRF, ECMWF, ETA)
DoD weather models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
GFDL Model & Plot
Weather Channel Caribbean Sat Image
Intellicast Caribbean IR Loop
Intellicast Atlantic IR Loop

More Sat images: [N.A. visible] (visible -- Daytime Only) [N.A. infrared] (infrared), and [N.A. water vapor] (water vapor)--Nasa source.


- [jc]

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Displaying Talkbacks #6 - #10 (of 26 total)
floyd (#6)
Posted by: scott
Posted On 04:36PM 10-Sep-1999 with id (VSNRSNQXUNQSX*)



Hi folks,,,if you've read me past comments you
can see that I'm right on pace again with this
system,,,,and with the intensity speed and direction,,,,way ahead of others.

But the only thing with Floyd so far is that he jogged alittle more to the northwest,,,a trun to the west will take placeduring sat,,tru monday.

I still see big strengthening during the sunday night period,,,,,now for landfall,,,I will make that exact judge ment as of saturday,,,but the
questions are ...when will he turn west,,,,how far north will he be..
Floyd to move west (#7)
Posted by: MR?
Posted On 05:27PM 10-Sep-1999 with id (RPWNSVNRQRNT*)

I was just watching 5.00pm news and their now talking about floyd missing the trof and high pressure will build in north of floyd and pussh more westarly. And they are saying now that floyd will threaten the east united states next week

{Floyd may even Reach southeast Bahamas}
What a Magnificent Storm! (#8)
Posted by: mary Location: lakeland
Posted On 06:59PM 10-Sep-1999 with id (QRNWWNQVRNVX*)

I just saw a beautiful picture of the Sir Floyd on the watervapor loop. I hope that we can admire that Gentleman from afar for many more days. However, it does look like it will start to threaten peopled places soon.
A hurricane in 87 or 88 ? (#9)
Posted by: Rob
Posted On 07:23PM 10-Sep-1999 with id (QYYNRRWNRPNQYX*)


Hi i when i was young around 3 to 4 years old in 1987 or 1988 there was a hurricane that came near florida or was suposed to hit or something.
I remeber my dad staying on are boat here in stuart florida and my mom and my sister and me going to a Stonger building becuse of what my told me was a hurricane and she said it could pickup the van that we had.
The only reason i remeber this was becuse i remeber thinking of a teridactle type bird swooping down and grabing the van that was parked outside.

If anyone Could help me or remeber the name of that storm or hurricane PLease email me or just POST it for me thank you.
too soon, but getting closer (#10)
Posted by: Steve Hirschberger Location: palm bay fl
Posted On 11:21PM 10-Sep-1999 with id (RPUNQXXNQYSNQWT*)

The latest TPC discussion stated that the models unanamously bring Floyd on a west-northwest even westward track bringing it through the central bahamas and very near Central fl on day 5, with the UKMET the most aggressive with the westward track. Long range models say the east coast of the US will be impacted (I assume that means further up the coast, maybe mid-atlantic or New England). Anyhow slow intensification will occur until beyond 48 hours, when more rapid strengthening is expected to occur. Still, a lot can happen during the next three days. (But if this forecast track holds up through 5 pm tomorrow, I'm getting the plywood checked and will get other things in order.) The idea that the long range models are banking on might be a last minute cold front that may turn Floyd north of the Central Fl coast. Don't see any strong evidence on that yet. This is still a long way off but model agreement is becoming a concern for us on the central FL east coast. Stay tuned.
Help for Rob (#11)
Posted by: Debbie (John & Mike's Big Sis) Location: Port St John, FL
Posted On 11:29PM 10-Sep-1999 with id (VSNQTNXNRTQ*)

Rob,
I just noticed your comment. If you would click on the "Storm Links" in the blue area on the left of this site it will take you to LOTS OF OTHER HURRICANE INFORMATION WEBSITES. If you go down about 1/2 way there is a link called: Unisys Weather Tropical Page. Click on that -- it will give you all the hurricanes/storms for each year & their tracks. Good luck. Hope you find the answer you are looking for. Bye, Debbie
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