CFHC Talkback For News Story #100:
Newest Talkback: 12:25 AM 09-18 EDT

Gordon Now a Hurricane
06:07 PM EDT - 16 September 2000

The 5:45 Tropical update just stated Gordon is now a Hurricane. Live Chat tonight at 9 pm EDT Click on "live Chat" on the Nav bar to the left. Where is Gordon going to make landfall that is the big question and how strong will he be?

Comments or Questions? Everyone is invited to use it. Use the comment button by the story Headline.

NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division Forecast Track of Active Systems (Good Forecast Track Graphic and Satellite Photos)

Map with nearly all model projected tracks plotted for TD#11. From Michael Bryson.

Crown Weather Services Tropical Update (Includes Map with multiple forecast model tracks)
Snonut's Hurricane Reports
Satellite images at: [Visible] (visible -- Daytime Only) [Infrared] (infrared), and [Water Vapor] (water vapor)
Loops: Visible Loop - Infrared Loop - Water Vapor Loop
A nice animated Water Vapor Image
Ocean Surface Winds Derived from the SeaWinds Scatterometer (Experimental)
StormCarib.com has reports from folks in the Caribbean islands themselves and is worth checking out when storms approach the Caribbean.
Ouragans.com Français -- L'information sur des ouragans comprenant beaucoup de liens.
Tormenta.net Español -- Gran información sobre huracanes aquí.

Some Forecast models: (NGM, AVN, MRF, ECMWF, ETA)
DoD weather models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
AVN, ECMWF, GFDL, NOGAPS, UKMET

- [jc]

Show All Comments | Show Next 10 Comments | Show Previous 17 Comments
Displaying Talkbacks #11 - #20 (of 31 total)
NHC's Track (#11)
Posted by: Alan Location: Orlando
Posted On 08:01PM 16-Sep-2000 with id (QVYNQSYNQYQNRTR*)

The problem I have with the NHC's forecast is that they haven't been right yet on this storm. Still, I know this is not an exact science and models are prone to mistakes.
The main reason that I am disgruntled with the NHC is that they have not fully explained why they think it will break through the cold front and not follow the water vapor trail.
They said there is a troff (sic) in the gulf of mexico and a ridge to its SE. Where exactly is this trough? Why do they think the cold front is going to break down?
I just don't understand. However, I also saw the latest sat. loops that look like the storm took a NW jog.
I am Back, and my site is updated too! (#12)
Posted by: Richard Byett (http://www.atlantic-technologies.co.uk) Location: Gloucester, England, UK
Posted On 08:02PM 16-Sep-2000 with id (RQRNQSYNTPNQWY*)

Well after a two week break i am back. Just wanted to make a brief posting to say hi to u all, and to wish those of u in western florida all the best. It looks like some of u may be in for a rough ride. My site is now updated, and will be regularly updated throughout, but i am having problems with the programme i use to access my web site, it should be sorted by tuesday though. Therefore updates to my site may be infrequent over the next 48 hours. However i have issued a number of watches and warnings from my site (including a Hurricane Warning!). Please remember my site and the watches and warnings on it are for guidance only, not official information!!!!
Any way i have to go, but i will post back tomoro morning (my time).
Take care everyone!


GET OVER THE BULL (#13)
Posted by: NICK Location: ORLANDO ,FL
Posted On 08:02PM 16-Sep-2000 with id (RPUNQXXNQYYNQXS*)

AND GET BACK TO THE MAIN ISSUE THAT THIS SITE WAS INTENDED/ GORDEN/ OTHER THAN THE BICKERING GOING ON TONIGHT THIS IS A GREAT SIGHT THANKS
ne or nw (#14)
Posted by: William Location: Crystal River, Fl.
Posted On 08:04PM 16-Sep-2000 with id (RPUNQVPNRTRNQRV*)

Dice did you mean making a move to the ne or nw?
duh? (#15)
Posted by: dice
Posted On 08:11PM 16-Sep-2000 with id (RPUNQXXNRPPNSR*)

to the northeast
Center is Showing on Radar (#16)
Posted by: Mitch McCauslin (http://home.cfl.rr.com/h2ocean/weather.html) Location: Cape Canaveral, FL
Posted On 08:18PM 16-Sep-2000 with id (RTNYUNRSQNST*)

On Satellite it looks like Gordon is taking more of a wobble north, but on radar it looks like it is going NE. Sometimes when the CDO is expanding, it can make the motion on satellite look like it is wobbling. The center of the hurricane appears to be on the edge of radar (remember, images on the edge of the radar periphery can be a little distorted). Click on the below link and click on Java Loop and adjust the radar motion speed to view the animated radar.

http://www.intellicast.com/LocalWeather/World/UnitedStates/Southeast/Florida/Melbourne/Radar/index.shtml


Heading North (#17)
Posted by: David
Posted On 08:18PM 16-Sep-2000 with id (RTNRWNRRUNTV*)

Looking at this loop:

http://sgihss3f.wwb.noaa.gov/data4/images/TROPICAL/float/float-ir4-loop.html

It looks like it is following the 85W directly north.
NW jog and trough (#18)
Posted by: Alan Location: Orlando
Posted On 08:19PM 16-Sep-2000 with id (QVYNQSYNQYQNRTR*)

I should know better to trust the local network's sat. pics. One they showed on Orlando's channel 13 looked like NW, but when they showed the radar on the weather channel, it looked like a pretty steady movement with a line on Cedar Key area. I hope it doesn't do much damage to one of my favorite fishing spots and a great place to eat crabs.
Also, TWC showed a great water vapor image that showed the trough dipping down to the NW of Gordon and raising to the NE of the storm. This would certainly make the NHC's track look a lot more likely and a now don't think it will hit south of Tampa.
Job oppurtunities (#19)
Posted by: Gary (http://†) Location: Hernando Beach
Posted On 09:21PM 16-Sep-2000 with id (RTNQVTNVNRTV*)


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Your search has resulted in 7 jobs.
The job information was last updated on 09/16/2000

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AEROSPACE ENGINEERING TECHNICIAN GS-0802-09/11 09/21/2000
C/AOC/00014.BSC COMMERCE, NAT OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMIN
MACDILL AFB, FL

CONSUMER SAFETY INSPECTOR GS-1862-05/05 10/03/2000
C/NMF/00061.MJB COMMERCE, NAT OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMIN
PEMBROKE PINES, FL

ECONOMIST GS-0110-14/14 09/22/2000
C/NMF/00062.BSC COMMERCE, NAT OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMIN
ST. PETERSBURG, FL

ECONOMIST GS-0110-13/13 10/04/2000
C/NMF/00063.CAH COMMERCE, NAT OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMIN
MIAMI, FL

RESEARCH FISHERY BIOLOGIST GS-0482-12/ 10/02/2000
C/NMF/00057.CAH COMMERCE, NAT OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMIN
MIAMI, FL

RESEARCH FISHERY BIOLOGIST GS-0482-12/ 10/02/2000
C/NMF/00057.CAH COMMERCE, NAT OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMIN
MIAMI, FL

RESEARCH FISHERY BIOLOGIST GS-0482-13/ 10/02/2000
C/NMF/00058.CAH COMMERCE, NAT OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMIN
MIAMI, FL






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does anyone see this? (#20)
Posted by: stan Location: Tinton Falls, NJ
Posted On 09:24PM 16-Sep-2000 with id (VSNSQNRTVNQXT*)

Just watching TWC - doesn't look like their sat. picture is as up to date as the one on this page -http://kauai.nrlmry.navy.mil/sat-bin/tc_home.

Looks like an eye to me. Also - notice the recon plane hasn't reported a vortex message since 7:15.

I respect John Hope a great deal, but I think he may be off with his intensity forecast (cat 1 max).




sorry guys (#21)
Posted by: Gary (http://†) Location: Hernando Beach
Posted On 09:27PM 16-Sep-2000 with id (RTNQVTNVNRTV*)

I for got to say- these are job openings at the NHC
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