CFHC Talkback For News Story #103:
Newest Talkback: 11:55 PM 09-19 EDT

Lots of Action out there
08:06 PM EDT - 18 September 2000

Gordon still causing a lot of rain in the southeast. But he is gone!

More action brewing in the tropics.  Remnants of TD #12 working it way in south of Cuba is looking like it may strengthen some.  Two other tropical waves east of the Caribbean we need to keep an eye on.  

Sorry for not being here it was not my choice to go to Texas it was my Job.  Still here working of a slow laptop.  And trying to keep up with the tropics while I'm in a school.

Comments or Questions? Everyone is invited to use it. Use the comment button by the story Headline.

NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division Forecast Track of Active Systems (Good Forecast Track Graphic and Satellite Photos)

Map with nearly all model projected tracks plotted for TD#11. From Michael Bryson.

Crown Weather Services Tropical Update (Includes Map with multiple forecast model tracks)
Snonut's Hurricane Reports
Satellite images at: [Visible] (visible -- Daytime Only) [Infrared] (infrared), and [Water Vapor] (water vapor)
Loops: Visible Loop - Infrared Loop - Water Vapor Loop
A nice animated Water Vapor Image
Ocean Surface Winds Derived from the SeaWinds Scatterometer (Experimental)
StormCarib.com has reports from folks in the Caribbean islands themselves and is worth checking out when storms approach the Caribbean.
Ouragans.com Français -- L'information sur des ouragans comprenant beaucoup de liens.
Tormenta.net Español -- Gran información sobre huracanes aquí.

Some Forecast models: (NGM, AVN, MRF, ECMWF, ETA)
DoD weather models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
AVN, ECMWF, GFDL, NOGAPS, UKMET

- [jc]

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Displaying Talkbacks #1 - #17 (of 59 total)
Sorry (#1)
Posted by: John C (http://flhurricane.com) Location: Cocoa, FL ( Currently in San Antonio, Texas)
Posted On 08:19PM 18-Sep-2000 with id (RQVNVWNUXNST*)

I just want to apologize for not keeping the Site up during the time of Gordon. This was not my choice. Most of all the important things are automatic. But small things like the sites background color and other things like news updates we have to change manually. I thought Mike was going to be back this morning but I guess I was wrong. I hope he is ok, haven’t heard from him yet. Thank you all for using this site!
No Apology Necessary (#2)
Posted by: clyde w. Location: orlando
Posted On 08:25PM 18-Sep-2000 with id (VSNWSNRQSNU*)

You guys run one helluva site! Keep up the good work.
TD#12 NHC numerical models (#3)
Posted by: Frank Location: Biloxi MS
Posted On 10:12PM 18-Sep-2000 with id (RPUNQXXNQYXNTW*)

Latest NHC numerical models (0000UTC) on wave in western caribbean.... models indicate hurricane with 89 knot winds moving in a general northwestern direction in the central GOM in 72 hours....

http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/tropical/atlantic/models/00091823
Tired Florida Folks (#4)
Posted by: Frank Location: Biloxi MS
Posted On 10:52PM 18-Sep-2000 with id (RPUNQXXNQYRNRR*)

Things sure are quiet tonight on the web page even with the impressive wave in the caribbean... I guess all you Florida people are worn out from tracking old Gordo.... Suffering from post hurricane traumatic stress syndrone... been there and done that too!!! Not to worry, good ole Southern Miss boy looking out for yall... USM Golden Eagle!!!! Things should be heating up tomorrow with this wave.... stay tuned
Latest GFDL... looks familiar (#5)
Posted by: Frank Location: Biloxi MS
Posted On 03:37AM 19-Sep-2000 with id (VTNQRNQPUNQWS*)

The lastest GFDL model run on the #12 dep at 0Z Sept 19 looks almost identical to our old buddy Gordo...

http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/tropical/atlantic/models/00091905
wave (#6)
Posted by: Rick Shade Location: Mobile, Al
Posted On 07:56AM 19-Sep-2000 with id (RPYNQRNVYNRQS*)

I concur Golden Eagle boy...I happen to be a Bama fan...hope they fire the coach...oh well, maybe we can beat St. Mary's school for the blind...looking forward to some real action now...the tropics heating up, and no one watching? When this gets in the gulf...I wonder if it'll wake em all up...

gotta go..have a good day ya'll...I'll check the post tonight.....

Gulf (#7)
Posted by: Lou
Posted On 08:32AM 19-Sep-2000 with id (QRNTPNRUNYX*)

What does everyone think about the mass in the bay of campeche
The Big Picture (#8)
Posted by: David
Posted On 09:04AM 19-Sep-2000 with id (RPYNQQTNRRPNRTW*)

Looking at this loop:
http://sgihss3f.wwb.noaa.gov/data4/images/TROPICAL/atl/nwatl-wv-loop.html

You have to wonder if it will be sucked up towards Fl with the rest of the flow? I don't know
Gulf of Mexico (#9)
Posted by: Richie Location: Boynton Beach, FL
Posted On 09:09AM 19-Sep-2000 with id (QVUNQVQNSNQS*)

What is that in the Southern Gulf
BOC cranking up? (#10)
Posted by: Frank Location: Biloxi MS
Posted On 09:13AM 19-Sep-2000 with id (QRNQSNRTXNQR*)

Boy, that thing in the southern gulf is really looking impressive this am, more so than old TD12 right now on the IR sat pix... NHC didn't even discuss it in their morning update...
LOL (#11)
Posted by: Jim Mogle Location: Kissimmee
Posted On 09:28AM 19-Sep-2000 with id (RPUNRTRNRRXNTP*)

I looked at the GFDL run for TD12 or whatever it is. Same spot as Gordon. I can't help but to chuckle at that. Poor Cedar Key. I know they are hoping for forecast error. Looks like someone is running an instant replay of Gordon in the last half of that run.
Development??? (#12)
Posted by: Tom
Posted On 09:51AM 19-Sep-2000 with id (QSRNRRXNWPNQX*)

It appears, looking at the latest visble that the low level center is now coming off the northern coast of Jamaica. I believe that now we should get some development and I also agree that it will follow a similar path of Gordon. In addition to this, we also have to watch the southern gulf. If this gets going, it could be an assembly line into Florida
THE BOC (#13)
Posted by: L.T. Location: Pensacola, FL
Posted On 10:03AM 19-Sep-2000 with id (RPUNQXXNRPPNTQ*)

Its moving NNE right now and looking better by the hour!! Central and NE Gulf COast residence be ready for another threat, but this time much worse!!!!
BOC Low (#14)
Posted by: Bob Location: North Carolina
Posted On 10:38AM 19-Sep-2000 with id (VSNTVNRRXNU*)

NWS has the low in the BOC moving West. I see it moving NE, quick. High to the east which is pushing 12, is squeezing the BOC low against the SW winds coming over Mexico. The upper level winds which sheared Gordon are still blowing.
Question: What are the winds over Texas?
I'm guessing TD#12 is back. (#15)
Posted by: Jim Mogle Location: Kissimmee
Posted On 11:02AM 19-Sep-2000 with id (RPUNRTRNRRXNWU*)

DATE/TIME LAT LON CLASSIFICATION STORM

19/1145Z 16.7N 78.9W T2.0/2.0 TD12

I guess we will see in just a bit.
Then again, maybe not. (#16)
Posted by: Jim Mogle Location: Kissimmee
Posted On 11:06AM 19-Sep-2000 with id (RPUNRTRNRRXNSQ*)

Looks like they are still waiting for reconSATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE STRONG TROPICAL WAVE IN THE
WESTERN CARIBBEAN...THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE...IS
BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. THIS SYSTEM IS PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS ACROSS EASTERN CUBA AND JAMAICA...AND THIS
ACTIVITY IS SPREADING INTO THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. THE WAVE IS MOVING
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH...AND CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE
FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS
SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON. INTERESTS IN
CUBA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
SYSTEM.

Plus, it looks like they are going to check out the system in the western Gulf. Looks like its going to be busy for a while.


T#s GOM (#17)
Posted by: Gary (http://†) Location: Hernando Beach fl.
Posted On 11:09AM 19-Sep-2000 with id (RPYNRQVNXUNRUR*)


TPNT KGWC 191445

A. DISTURBANCE IN THE GULF OF MEXICO

B. 19/1215Z (118)

C. 21.9N/2

D. 93.5W/7

E. FIVE/DMSP

F. T1.5/1.5/INIT OBS -19/1215Z-

G. WX4547/28326/DLS-TS-EIR-MI/T



50/ PBO PRTLY XPSD LLCC ON 85H.



H. CENTER WAS 1.7 DEGREES WEST OF NADIR.



I. GALE WIND RADIUS ANAL - N/A



More T#s (#18)
Posted by: Gary (http://†) Location: Hernando Beach fl.
Posted On 11:24AM 19-Sep-2000 with id (RPYNRQVNXUNRUR*)


DATE/TIME LAT LON CLASSIFICATION STORM

19/1145Z 16.7N 78.9W T2.0/2.0 TD12



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