CFHC Talkback For News Story #105:
Newest Talkback: 03:58 AM 09-21 EDT

TD#12 Nearly Gone
01:21 PM EDT - 20 September 2000

Still barely holding on (and arguably at that), Tropical Depression #12 is moving into the Southeast Gulf of Mexico. This time the Northern Gulf coast looks like the likely place. If it strengthens, I don't expect much more than a tropical storm. If not, it'll break apart and still cause a good deal of rain.

Outside of TD#12, nothing imminent is out there.

Comments or Questions? Everyone is invited to use it. Use the comment button by the story Headline.

NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division Forecast Track of Active Systems (Good Forecast Track Graphic and Satellite Photos)

Map with nearly all model projected tracks plotted for TD#12. From Michael Bryson.

Crown Weather Services Tropical Update (Includes Map with multiple forecast model tracks)
Snonut's Hurricane Reports
Satellite images at: [Visible] (visible -- Daytime Only) [Infrared] (infrared), and [Water Vapor] (water vapor)
Loops: Visible Loop - Infrared Loop - Water Vapor Loop
A nice animated Water Vapor Image
Ocean Surface Winds Derived from the SeaWinds Scatterometer (Experimental)
StormCarib.com has reports from folks in the Caribbean islands themselves and is worth checking out when storms approach the Caribbean.
Ouragans.com Français -- L'information sur des ouragans comprenant beaucoup de liens.
Tormenta.net Español -- Gran información sobre huracanes aquí.

Satellite images at: [NAtl visible] (visible -- Daytime Only) [NAtl infrared] (infrared), and [NAtl water vapor] (water vapor)--Nasa source.

Some Forecast models: (NGM, AVN, MRF, ECMWF, ETA)
DoD weather models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
AVN, ECMWF, GFDL, NOGAPS, UKMET

- [mac]

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Displaying Talkbacks #9 - #12 (of 25 total)
Deja vu all over again.... (#9)
Posted by: Bill Location: TLH
Posted On 05:08PM 20-Sep-2000 with id (RPTNQQPNRQTNYT*)

That T report looks just like one on Gordon. The pressure dropped 2 mb since last advisory, system is better organized, good/developing outflow N, E, s, developing to the west.

Look just like Gordon did before the bottom dropped out...stay tuned.

IHS,

Bill
Storm Seeding (#10)
Posted by: Steve H. Location: Palm Bay FL
Posted On 05:21PM 20-Sep-2000 with id (VTNQRNQPUNQVR*)

I'll tell you what Scottsvb, the thought has crossed my mind several time this season, just by the way these storms die when conditions are seemingly ideal. Maybe our Hurricane hunters are doing overtime. Agree with you on this....if it slows could come in south of Cedar Key. Recon earlier wasn't too impressed, but if it continues to build, we could see a hurricane in 36-48 hours. Some other areas of interest out there as well in the atlantic. It ain't over til it's over folks. Cheers!!
Exciting (#11)
Posted by: Bill Location: pensacola
Posted On 05:22PM 20-Sep-2000 with id (RPXNQWPNQUXNQV*)

Just wanted to say that I enjoy reading every ones messages on the storm status. You all seem to know what your talking about, which is why I usually turn to these messages for the latest. Thanks!!
TD #12 Looking good on latest visible (#12)
Posted by: Gary Location: Los Angeles, CA
Posted On 06:50PM 20-Sep-2000 with id (VSNRUUNSVNQRY*)

TD #12 is looking like it's really coming together right now. However, unless the low level circulation gets it's act together the convection is likely to decrease as the night progresses.
more predictions (#13)
Posted by: Alex K
Posted On 08:50PM 20-Sep-2000 with id (VSNTRNQTQNVW*)

My prediction is that the depression in the Gulf will eventually become a weak TS before landfall between Pensacola and New Orleans, bringing heavy rain. I think that the wave coming off Africa right now will become TD 13 late tommorrow. Right know it looks fairly strong. It has a big area of deep convection and the tropical surface analysys showed a 1007 millibar low.
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