CFHC Talkback For News Story #79:
Newest Talkback: 08:23 AM 09-02 EDT

Tropical Depression #8 Forms
11:29 PM EDT - 01 September 2000

Tropical depression #8 forms east of the Leeward Islands! 
I guess Mike was wrong in thinking nothing would form this weekend.
The National Hurricane Center believes there will minimal strengthening over the next few day's.  I believe it will at least be a named storm by Sunday or late Saturday night.  For the track that is what we are here for is to try to figure it out.   So lets keep up the good work in the comments section.

Comments or Questions? Everyone is invited to use it. Use the comment button by the story Headline.

NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division Forecast Track of Active Systems (Good Forecast Track Graphic and Satellite Photos)


Crown Weather Services Tropical Update (Includes Map with multiple forecast model tracks)
Snonut's Hurricane Reports

Satellite images at: [N.A. visible] (visible -- Daytime Only) [N.A. infrared] (infrared), and [N.A. water vapor] (water vapor)--Nasa source.

Some Forecast models: (NGM, AVN, MRF, ECMWF, ETA)
DoD weather models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
AVN, ECMWF, GFDL, NOGAPS, UKMET

- [jc]

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Displaying Talkbacks #1 - #3 (of 3 total)
TD#8 (#1)
Posted by: Bruce Location: Palm Bay Florida
Posted On 11:54PM 01-Sep-2000 with id (RPUNQXXNQYSNQVV*)

Well, TD#8 has formed! It seems like the shear to the west is deceasing. Most of the computer models have been predicting this to happen, much sooner than the experts have expected. I feel TD#8 will be Ernesto within 24 hours. If he can hold up for the next 48 to 72 hours, upper level winds will be much more favorable for further development. Time will tell.
Brief Thoughts on TD Eight (#2)
Posted by: JJ
Posted On 02:39AM 02-Sep-2000 with id (QURNQVSNRPTNQYW*)

I have no qualms with the NHC's track forecast, but the upper-level conditions continue to suggest
this TC will be in a hostile environment for the next day. Even if it makes it through the southwesterly shear, it'll probably have northerly shear to contend with later. I'd give this a 60% of dissipating at or before 72 hrs, regardless of whether TS intensity is reached. Unless conditions change dramatically, which I think is unlikely between now and the time it first interacts with the trough.
Typical (#3)
Posted by: Richard Byett (http://www.atlantic-technologies.co.uk) Location: Gloucester, England, UK
Posted On 04:23AM 02-Sep-2000 with id (RQRNQSYNQXUNVR*)

Well it has been quiet in the Atlantic for a little while now.... but as it has begun to pick up i am going away! I will be away from later today until 17th of September. Unfortunately i will be unable to post comments on this site, and will also be unable to update my own site.
But before i go i just want to make a brief comment on TD#8. He looks good on the latest IR imagery, with a large area of moderate/strong convection. I too feel it will become Ernesto before today is out, but am inclined to agree with the current NHC forecast of little strengthening. If he can hold together through the shear then he may need watchimng closely during next week.
Anyways, i am out of here. Take care one and all, keep up the good work, and i will post again when i get back in 2 weeks.
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