CFHC Talkback For News Story #92:
Newest Talkback: 10:32 PM 09-05 EDT

Tropical Depression Seven Forms in Bay of Campeche. Dennis Ends
05:06 PM EDT - 05 September 1999

Well, no sooner than the last official advisory on Dennis was written, we have a new tropical depression to speak of, with the prospect of another later this week in the Central Atlantic. Dennis is now just dumping rain over North and South Carolina, and probably causing some flooding problems. Dennis is no longer being tracked by the NHC.

TD#7 however, may want to immitate Hurricane Bret, which is not good for Texas. The NHC hints it may want to travel further north like Bret did, so once again, we'll be watching. The official forecast is to have it make landfall in Northern Mexico before getting too strong. It's a bit early to form any serious conclusions on it, however.

I apologize for the lack of the "Local Hurricane Statements" for North Carolina, but lack of time last week as well as other technical problems kept it from happening.

For more information on TD#7 see the Current Storm Spotlight for TD#7.
Some Forecast models: (NGM, AVN, MRF, ECMWF, ETA)
DoD weather models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
Weather Channel Caribbean Sat Image
Intellicast Caribbean IR Loop
Intellicast Atlantic IR Loop

More Sat images: [N.A. visible] (visible -- Daytime Only) [N.A. infrared] (infrared), and [N.A. water vapor] (water vapor)--Nasa source.


- [mac]

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Displaying Talkbacks #1 - #3 (of 3 total)
TD#7 (#1)
Posted by: mary Location: Lakeland
Posted On 08:19PM 05-Sep-1999 with id (QRNWWNQVRNVW*)

Well, it seems that those little computer models are behind the weather developments as usual. I thought they were supposed to be able to forecast out to 14 days in advance with some accuracy, however, it looks like this year has kept the puters off guard. Is it human error or are we just getting the stripped down version on the net/ Does anyone know?
Computer Models & Weather (#2)
Posted by: Colleen Location: Lakeland, Florida
Posted On 10:19PM 05-Sep-1999 with id (RPUNQXXNRPPNRT*)

Hi Mary...I think that weather is just too difficult to forecast...so, I always take it with a grain of salt. You know, when they say the storms won't form inland, and we get our butts kicked, things like that. So, it's not the forecasters fault, or computers; it's just Mother Nature....if you don't believe me,. ask NASCAR...they weren't suppossed to get any rain in South Carolina, but they did. This is weather. By the way, where in Lakeland do you live? I would love to meet you, seeing that you love hurricanes and everything. I live right near FSC. Take care...Colleen
MORE DEVELOPMENT LATER IN THE WEEK (#3)
Posted by: Mike Anderson
Posted On 01:32AM 06-Sep-1999 with id (RPUNQXXNQYVNUY*)

Good evening weather people, im going to make it short tonight, Well we have what i forecasted another depression, that has formed in the Gulf, i do think it is a bit to early to forecast anything direct, as this system could just vanish as fast as it came, i do not think we are looking at another BRET here, most important we could see a lot of rain move up along the texas coast later in the week,Im very short on time tonight but i wanted to talk about the tropical Depression im expecting to develop in the atlantic by mon night or tue, this system should have everything to work with and the potential to become a major Hurricane , but thats getting ahead of myself so we will sit and wait for development first, however i wanted to let everybody know of this , Now im not forecasting any direct impact on any one point but at the time of expected development we will have a very deep ridge in the Atlantic, and it is very possible that this system could get very far west before any turn to the north ever comes in to play, well i need to run , ill post again later,Mary to answer you question about the models being stripped down, well i really dont think im understanding what you mean , but models are only as good as the person putting the information in them, Mike anderson Florida WX.
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