CFHC Talkback For News Story #32:
Newest Talkback: 11:29 PM 08-03 EDT

One more day in July
07:38 PM EDT - 30 July 2000

July coming to an end, no named storms. Thanks to all 180+ voters who participated in the survey (The Rest of July). The Atlantic is starting to fire-up, I think we are in for a busy August and September. Let’s start hearing those predictions for August in the comments section. I have not had time to study any of the models yet, so I will leave the predictions up to you all.
Although we do not monitor the Pacific, I would like to mention that hurricane Daniel has been downgraded to a tropical storm and that a tropical storm warning remains in effect of the islands of Maui County and for the Island of Hawaii and is issued for the Oahu including the city of Honolulu. Effective at 11am hst.

satellite images at: [N.A. visible] (visible -- Daytime Only) [N.A. infrared] (infrared), and [N.A. water vapor] (water vapor)--Nasa source.

Some Forecast models: (NGM, AVN, MRF, ECMWF, ETA)
DoD weather models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
Comments? Use the comment button by the story Headline.

- [jc]

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Displaying Talkbacks #4 - #6 (of 24 total)
Tropical Update (#4)
Posted by: Mark Ruck Location: Ft Myers Florida
Posted On 02:22PM 31-Jul-2000 with id (QRNWWNQWWNQV*)

Hello All,
Well there is only a few new things to report since this mourning mainly with the wave at 14n..45w.. Pressure is at 1010mb but the new report is showers and a few thunderstorms have started to develope near the center and to the south. Its only a little but it has increased since this mournings satellite so it may be the sign its entering warmer waters and maybe starting to develope just a bit. We will have to see if it continues over night. If it does we may have a TD over the next 48 hours. No models have picked this up but I haven't been too excited with what the models have been showing so far this year so I would say watch this wave closely.

SE Bahamas (#5)
Posted by: Warren Tims Location: Savannah, GA
Posted On 07:36PM 31-Jul-2000 with id (RTNRNUSNVY*)

What's going on there? Something has really blown up there today. Is this something to worry about?


S.E. Bahamas (#6)
Posted by: Steve H.
Posted On 08:44PM 31-Jul-2000 with id (RPUNQXXNQYVNSY*)

I've looking at this area since this morning and was also concerned due to the amount of convection that has sustained for long period of time. I understand it is associated to a tutt and is expected to move to the north over time --- however, if it remains witin this area and pressures start falling, we'll need to monitor it. Anyone have any data out there on this disturbed area? cheers.
Tropical Development (#7)
Posted by: Mark Ruck Location: Ft Myers Florida
Posted On 07:11AM 01-Aug-2000 with id (QRNWWNQSTNQY*)

Hello All,
Well things have calm down this mourning over the Atlantic but we still have a coule of areas being watched. The first is the swirl ow circulation 14n...49w...for the first time we have a bit of convection near the center which makes be believe waters are warming up underneath it. The only thing wrong is it is running into a dry air mass and northerly shear over the next 24-48 hours so development is not likely for at least 48-72 hours. The other has just come off Africa but waters are too cool for development north of 12 degrees so if this system has any chance it must stay below 12 north or wait until it gets near the carribean in 3-4 days. So right now I don't see development for the next 48-72 hours at best. I know we all are looking forward to our first storm even myself but its just not in the cards yet and if you look over Africa there are some impressive areas of thunderstorms heading for the atlantic and I do believe we will see something over the next couple of weeks.
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