CFHC Talkback For News Story #41:
Newest Talkback: 09:31 PM 06-09 EDT

More Predictions Wave
08:30 AM EDT - 07 June 2001

Dr Gray and his team at Colorado State University has updated his forecast to include two more (12 total) named storms. One of these has already occured. He's added one more hurricane and one more major Hurricane. This is due to factors such as colder than expected Pacific temperatures (La Nada), and more.

Tropical Cyclone Forecast
Colorado State University / Dr. William Gray		 Mean Average
Year

07-June-2001
Forecast
Named Tropical Storms and Hurricanes 9.3 12
Named Storm Days 46.9 60
Hurricanes 5.8 7
Hurricane Days 23.7 30
Intense Hurricanes (Cat 3+) 2.2 3
Intense Hurricane Days 4.7 5


Joe Bastardi's Hurricane Predictions are finally up.

Allison is hanging around in its former area and may drift southward. There is a small chance that it could actually redevelop if it gets back over the Gulf. *small chance*, but I'm mentioning it because it even forming was interesting to me in the first place.

A few other waves in the Central Atlantic are there, and they are strong for this time of. Climatology suggests they will not form, and that's what I think. However, as they slide into the Caribbean they will have to be watched. Allison has sparked a major resurgence of justified wave mongering. The spark, if you will. An interesting June for once. Steve H. made a very good comment on the previous article that may have to be taken into account. The next few days will be telling of that.


NASA GHCC Interactive Satellite images at:
[NAtl visible] (visible -- Daytime Only) [NAtl infrared] (infrared), and [NAtl water vapor] (water vapor)--Nasa source.
Defiant Visible Infrared More...
Some Forecast models: (NGM, AVN, MRF, ECMWF, ETA)
DoD weather models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
AVN, ECMWF, GFDL, NOGAPS, UKMET

- [mac]

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Displaying Talkbacks #6 - #10 (of 26 total)
Yep (#6)
Posted by: SirCane Location: Pensacola, FL
Posted On 06:39PM 07-Jun-2001 with id (RPUNQXXNQYYNRT*)

I wouldn't write off Allison yet either! That monster off Africa sure is something for this time of year! Looks like a Tropical Depression already!
allison (#7)
Posted by: scottsvb (http://communities.msn.com/HURRICANEUPDATECENTER) Location: tampa
Posted On 08:48PM 07-Jun-2001 with id (QRNWWNQSXNQQR*)

Allison will not come back.Its over land and
its very usual for the circultion to become
more profond went a system does enter land,but its winds lesson dramaticlly. Allison is heading
deeper into land and should turn and head more
east across the southern coast states.
Eastern Atlantic wave looks impressive but it
should be just like last year at this time
with the waves weakening while heading west.
1 Of the waves has a chance to make it into the
carribean by next week and by the end of next
week have a chance to form maybe into a stronger
system by then. SVB
Allison hangs on (#8)
Posted by: Richard Byett (http://www.stormwarn2000.com) Location: Gloucester, England
Posted On 03:02PM 08-Jun-2001 with id (RQSNQRRNQSWNQVT*)

Well the remnants of Allison are continuing to slowly head towards the coast. Interesting to see convection increasing to the south of the Louisiana coast in association with the remnant low. CMAN stations have recently been reporting an increase in sustained winds along the upper Texas coast and the Louisianna coast. If the circulation can hold, and it gets a little closer to the coast, we may see some redevelopment of this system as it draws in moisture from the gulf. We'll have to wait and see.
off texas (#9)
Posted by: matt
Posted On 03:14PM 08-Jun-2001 with id (SXNSQNQTYNQUQ*)

i just looked at the latest military sat pics of the gom what is off the tx coast it looks like circulation in the water... or is that just a feeder band?
off texas (#10)
Posted by: matt
Posted On 03:15PM 08-Jun-2001 with id (SXNSQNQTYNQUQ*)

i just looked at the latest military sat pics of the gom what is off the tx coast it looks like circulation in the water... or is that just a feeder band?
off texas (#11)
Posted by: matt
Posted On 03:15PM 08-Jun-2001 with id (SXNSQNQTYNQUQ*)

i just looked at the latest military sat pics of the gom what is off the tx coast it looks like circulation in the water... or is that just a feeder band?
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