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Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 8 (Hanna) , Major: 663 (Michael) Florida - Any: 663 (Michael) Major: 663 (Michael)
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N at 13 mph
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#1010020 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:59 AM 28.Jul.2020)
TCMAT4

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092020
1500 UTC TUE JUL 28 2020

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING
VIEQUES...AND CULEBRA...AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...MONTSERRAT...ST.
KITTS...AND NEVIS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
GUADELOUPE...MARTINIQUE...AND ST. MARTIN.

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF ST. MAARTIN HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR ST. MAARTIN.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...AND NEVIS
* GUADELOUPE...MARTINIQUE...AND ST. MARTIN
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTIN

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND HISPANIOLA SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 53.7W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 90 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 20 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......200NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 53.7W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 52.8W

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 14.8N 56.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...200NE 0SE 0SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 16.0N 60.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...200NE 0SE 0SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 17.3N 64.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 60SE 0SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 18.8N 67.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...210NE 90SE 0SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 20.1N 70.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...210NE 90SE 0SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 21.3N 73.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...210NE 90SE 0SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 24.1N 77.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 26.8N 80.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 53.7W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 28/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN