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The 2021 Altantic Hurricane Season Begins June 1st, 2021. 2020 is officially over, but still a 30% chance area lingers.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 87 (Zeta) , Major: 150 (Laura) Florida - Any: 837 (Michael) Major: 837 (Michael)
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#1013345 (Received by flhurricane at: 6:06 PM 22.Aug.2020)
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM LAURA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132020
2100 UTC SAT AUG 22 2020

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM
OCEAN REEF TO KEY WEST AND FOR THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA
BAY.

THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...HOLGUIN...GUANTANAMO...
SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GRANMA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
ANDROS ISLAND.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO
THE BORDER WITH HAITI
* THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO
PUNTA PALENQUE
* THE NORTHERN COAST OF HAITI FROM LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS TO THE
BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...HOLGUIN...GUANTANAMO...
SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GRANMA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS
* ANDROS ISLAND
* FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO KEY WEST AND THE DRY TORTUGAS
* FLORIDA BAY

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CUBA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LAURA.
ADDITIONAL TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE NEEDED THERE
TONIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 68.1W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 68.1W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 67.5W

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 18.9N 70.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 20.1N 74.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 60SE 0SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 21.6N 78.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 30SE 0SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 23.0N 81.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 60SE 0SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 24.3N 84.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 60SE 30SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 25.7N 87.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 40SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 29.0N 90.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 33.0N 91.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 68.1W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 23/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH