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Struggling Beta and now former Alpha that formed but then poofed over Portugal begin the Greek Alphabeta with weaker storms, so far
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 7 (Sally) , Major: 27 (Laura) Florida - Any: 714 (Michael) Major: 714 (Michael)
49.7N 59.2W
Wind: 50MPH
Pres: 975mb
Moving:
Nne at 31 mph
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30.5N 93.4W
Wind: 30MPH
Pres: 1006mb
Moving:
Ne at 13 mph
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#1016137 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:57 PM 11.Sep.2020)
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192020
2100 UTC FRI SEP 11 2020

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF
SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA FROM SOUTH OF JUPITER INLET TO NORTH OF OCEAN
REEF.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH OF JUPITER INLET TO NORTH OF OCEAN REEF

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT
6 TO 12 HOURS.

INTERESTS ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST SHOULD ALSO BE MONITORING
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE WATCHES
COULD BE ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THAT AREA LATER TONIGHT OR ON
SATURDAY.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N 79.0W AT 11/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N 79.0W AT 11/2100Z
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 78.6W

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 25.7N 80.1W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 26.2N 81.9W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 27.3N 83.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 10NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 28.4N 85.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 29.1N 86.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 20SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 29.5N 87.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 30SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 30.0N 89.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 31.0N 91.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.4N 79.0W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 12/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE