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#TD22 may be named Fri and be a major flood threat. #98L could TD soon. Wilfred then Alpha by end of the week possible.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 2 (Sally) , Major: 22 (Laura) Florida - Any: 708 (Michael) Major: 708 (Michael)
21.6N 55.4W
Wind: 130MPH
Pres: 947mb
Moving:
Nw at 12 mph
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22.9N 94.1W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 1005mb
Moving:
Nne at 6 mph
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#1016169 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:45 PM 11.Sep.2020)
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192020
0300 UTC SAT SEP 12 2020

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
FROM THE OCHLOCKNEE RIVER TO THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH OF JUPITER INLET TO NORTH OF OCEAN REEF
* OCHLOCKNEE RIVER TO OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEHWERE ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE WATCHES
COULD BE ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THAT AREA ON SATURDAY.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 79.8W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 79.8W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 79.4W

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 26.0N 81.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 26.8N 82.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 27.9N 84.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 28.8N 85.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 29.3N 86.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 29.7N 87.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 30.2N 89.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 31.3N 90.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.7N 79.8W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 12/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI