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#TD22 may be named Fri and be a major flood threat. #98L could TD soon. Wilfred then Alpha by end of the week possible.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 2 (Sally) , Major: 22 (Laura) Florida - Any: 708 (Michael) Major: 708 (Michael)
21.6N 55.4W
Wind: 130MPH
Pres: 947mb
Moving:
Nw at 12 mph
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22.9N 94.1W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 1005mb
Moving:
Nne at 6 mph
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#1016188 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:45 AM 12.Sep.2020)
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Paulette Intermediate Advisory Number 21A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172020
200 AM AST Sat Sep 12 2020

...PAULETTE EXPECTED TO QUICKLY STRENGTHEN TO A HURRICANE
SATURDAY...
...EXPECTED TO BRING HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO BERMUDA BY SUNDAY
NIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.4N 55.5W
ABOUT 690 MI...1115 KM ESE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Paulette was
located near latitude 26.4 North, longitude 55.5 West. Paulette is
moving toward the northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h). A
west-northwestward or northwestward motion at a slightly slower
forward speed is expected through the weekend, followed by a
turn toward the north on Monday. The center of Paulette is forecast
to move near Bermuda Sunday night and Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher
gusts. Additional strengthening is anticipated and Paulette is
forecast to become a hurricane later today.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 987 mb (29.15 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Paulette can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC,
and on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions could begin to affect Bermuda and
the nearby waters by Sunday night. Hurricane conditions could begin
in that area late Sunday or early Monday.

RAIN: Paulette may bring periods of heavy rain to Bermuda through
Monday, with rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches with maximum
amounts of 6 inches possible.

SURF: Swells generated by Paulette are affecting portions of the
Leeward Islands and will continue to spread westward to portions of
the Greater Antilles, Bahamas, Bermuda, and the southeastern United
States into the weekend. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Roberts/Brown